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Game 109: Chance the Spot Starter

August 4, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

(Presswire)

Welcome to the big leagues, Chance Adams. Now go pitch in Fenway Park in a nationally televised game against a juggernaut lineup in what is probably the Yankees’ most important game of the season. A win today and there’s still some hope for the AL East title. Another loss and it’s probably time to start focusing on a wildcard spot.

As best I can tell, Adams will be the first player to make his MLB debut with the Yankees as a starter in Boston since Randy Keisler in September 2000. He’s the first to do it outside expanded rosters since Bob Meyer in April 1964. The last two pitchers to make their MLB debut with the Yankees at Fenway Park in any role? Shane Greene in 2014 and Mark Melancon in 2009. Those two worked out well.

I really wish the Yankees would use an opener today. Let David Robertson or even Dellin Betances face the top of the lineup in the first inning, then turn it over to Adams and hope he can get through five innings while only facing the top of the lineup once. Seems like a good idea. Alas. It’ll be Adams from the get-go. Go get ’em, kid. Here are the lineups:

New York Yankees
1. LF Brett Gardner
2. DH Giancarlo Stanton
3. SS Didi Gregorius
4. CF Aaron Hicks
5. 2B Gleyber Torres
6. 1B Greg Bird
7. 3B Miguel Andujar
8. C Austin Romine
9. RF Shane Robinson

RHP Chance Adams

Boston Red Sox
1. RF Mookie Betts
2. LF Andrew Benintendi
3. 1B Mitch Moreland
4. DH J.D. Martinez
5. SS Xander Bogaerts
6. 3B Eduardo Nunez
7. SS Brock Holt
8. C Sandy Leon
9. CF Jackie Bradley Jr.

RHP Nathan Eovaldi


The rain has cleared out and they should have no trouble starting this afternoon’s game on time. It’ll be cloudy and humid though. Today’s game will begin at 4:05pm ET and both YES and Fox Sports 1 will have the broadcast. Enjoy the game.

Roster Move: Tommy Kahnle was sent back down to Triple-A Scranton to clear a roster spot for Adams, the Yankees announced. Adams takes an open 40-man roster spot, so no other move was needed.

Injury Update: Aaron Judge (wrist) has not yet started swinging a bat but he did stand in the box during CC Sabathia’s bullpen session, so he’s started tracking pitches. Swinging the bat should happen soon, perhaps tomorrow … J.A. Happ (hand, foot, and mouth disease) is doing much better and is expected to start Thursday, the first day he’s eligible to come off the disabled list.

Filed Under: Game Threads Tagged With: Aaron Judge, Chance Adams, Tommy Kahnle

Yankees acquire George Kontos from Indians in cash trade

August 4, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

(Brian Davidson/Getty)

Welcome back, George Kontos. This afternoon the Yankees announced they’ve acquired Kontos from the Indians for cash considerations. He is not on the 40-man roster and he’s going to Triple-A Scranton.

The Yankees drafted Kontos in the fifth round of the 2006 draft and he made his MLB debut in pinstripes in 2011. They sent him to the Giants for Chris Stewart at the end of Spring Training 2012, and Kontos was with San Francisco for their 2012 and 2014 World Series titles.

This season Kontos, now 33, has a 4.68 ERA (5.93 FIP) in 25 innings with the Pirates and Indians. He started the year in Pittsburgh, got released, then hooked on with the Indians. They eventually outrighted him to Triple-A, where he has a 1.13 ERA (1.80 FIP) in 16 innings.

The Yankees traded away four Triple-A pitchers at the deadline (Cody Carroll, Caleb Frare, Gio Gallegos, Josh Rogers), so adding Kontos is more about giving the RailRiders another warm body than it is expecting him to help the MLB team.

Filed Under: Transactions Tagged With: Cleveland Indians, George Kontos

Saturday Notes: Postseason Schedule, Forbes, IFAs, KBO

August 4, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

(Presswire)

Weather permitting, the Yankees and Red Sox will continue their four-game series at Fenway Park later today. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm ET, though there’s some rain in the forecast around that time, so we might be in for a bit of a delay. Hope not. Anyway, here are some links and notes to check out in the meantime.

Postseason schedule announced

Earlier this week MLB announced the postseason schedule which, obviously, is relevant to the Yankees. Even if you think they’re the worst good team ever, FanGraphs puts their postseason odds at 99.9% as of this writing, so yeah. Anyway, here is the portion of the postseason schedule potentially relevant to the Yankees (here’s the full schedule):

  • Tiebreaker Games (if necessary): Monday, October 1st (on ESPN)
  • AL Wild Card Game: Wednesday, October 3rd (on TBS)
  • Both ALDS: Friday, October 5th to Thursday, October 11th (on TBS)
  • ALCS: Saturday, October 13th to Sunday, October 21st (on FOX and FOX Sports 1)
  • World Series: Tuesday, October 23rd to Wednesday, October 31st (on FOX)

Barring rainouts, the World Series will end in October this year for the first time since 2014. The regular season ends Sunday, September 30th, so this year there are two days between the end of the regular season and the AL Wild Card Game. Last year there was only one off-day. This means the AL Wild Card clubs can use their ace as late as Game 160 of the regular season on Friday, September 28th, and still have him on normal rest for the Wild Card Game.

Yankees among most valuable sports franchises

To the surprise of no one, the Yankees are once again one of the most valuable sports franchises in the world according to Forbes. The fifth most valuable, to be exact, behind the Dallas Cowboys and three soccer clubs. Here are the five most valuable franchises in sports:

  1. Dallas Cowboys: $4.8 billion
  2. Manchester United: $4.123 billion
  3. Real Madrid: $4.088 billion
  4. Barcelona: $4.064 billion
  5. New York Yankees: $4 billion

The Yankees’ estimated value is up 8% from last year. The next most valuable MLB franchise is the Dodgers at $3 billion. Pretty huge gap between No. 1 and No. 2 there. I can’t help but wonder what the Yankees would sell for right now. Great young team, soon to be a clean payroll slate with regards to the luxury tax, relatively new ballpark. Think the Steinbrenners could get $10 billion? The stripped down Marlins sold for $1.2 billion, remember.

Cabello, Salinas bonuses reported

Finally, we have bonus information for outfield prospects Antonio Cabello and Raimfer Salinas, who the Yankees signed with their leftover Shohei Ohtani money last winter. According to MLB.com, Salinas received $1.85M and Cabello received $1.35M. The Yankees had $3.5M available to give Ohtani, and when he went to the Angels, they gave that money to Cabello, Salinas, and shortstop Angel Rojas.

Both Salinas and Cabello were significant international prospects. MLB.com ranked them as the seventh and ninth best prospects on the market last year, respectively. Salinas is out with an unknown injury at the moment, but Cabello is crushing the ball in the rookie Gulf Coast League, hitting .342/.447/.613 (189 wRC+) with 16 extra-base hits and nearly as many walks (18) as strikeouts (23) in 32 games. The Yankees didn’t get Ohtani and that bites. He’s good and fun, and I like good and fun players. Salinas and Cabello are nice consolation prizes though.

MLB, KBO agree to new posting system

MLB and the Korea Baseball Organization have agreed to a new posting system, reports Yonhap News Agency. The new posting system mirrors the system MLB and NPB agreed to last winter. The team posts the player, he gets a 30-day window to negotiate with any team, and the posting fee is a percentage of his contract. Also, players can be posted from November 1st through December 5th only. Teams can’t wait until late in the offseason. The old posting system was a blind bid for the player’s negotiating rights, like the old NPB system back in the day.

Back in February our Sung-Min Kim wrote about the top prospects in Asia, and noted outfielder Sung-Bum Na of the NC Dinos could be the next player to come over from Korea. The 28-year-old left-handed hitter has a .324/.384/.512 batting line with 24 doubles and 16 home runs in 105 games this year. Last season he hit .347/.418/.584 with 24 homers in 125 games. Na has said he wants to come over to MLB, though it’s unclear if he’ll actually be posted after the season. I’m not sure the Yankees will need another outfielder this offseason anyway.

Filed Under: International Free Agents, Playoffs Tagged With: Antonio Cabello, Raimfer Salinas

Red Sox 4, Yankees 1: One hit and a third straight loss

August 3, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

In the biggest and most important series of the season, the Yankees couldn’t look more overmatched and out of their element. The Red Sox have made it crystal clear they are the superior team in pretty much every way. Better offensively, better pitching, better defense and baserunning. The Yankees lost 4-1 on Friday. They’re now into their sixth consecutive week of mediocrity.

(Presswire)

Severino Grinds It Out
The good news: Luis Severino looked much better in innings two through six Friday night than he had at any point in his previous four starts or so. The bad news: The first inning happened. And it was an eventful first inning too. Severino’s first pitch was up and in on Mookie Betts, an obvious intent pitch a little too close the head for my liking. But, clearly, Severino threw up and in on Betts because Brett Gardner took an 0-2 fastball to the arm to start the game.

The purpose pitch led to both benches being warned — it was a weird delayed warning by home plate umpire Adam Hamari, can’t remember ever seeing an umpire take a few seconds before issuing the warnings — and Red Sox manager Alex Cora lost it. Yelled at the ump, got ejected, the whole nine. Once the game resumed, Severino was unable to back up the tough guy act. One-out double by Andrew Benintendi, two-run home run by Steve Pearce, his fourth of the series. The Red Sox bench gave Severino the business and it was 100% deserved.

A walk, yet another stolen base, and a bloop single to center gave the Red Sox their third run of the first inning. Exactly what the Yankees didn’t need. They got their asses handed to them Thursday night, then they were down three runs in the first inning Friday night. A terrible start for Severino. More of the same, unfortunately, given his last few outings. Mistakes out over the plate and non-competitive pitches way out of the zone.

Severino did settle down after that first inning, which is pretty much the only positive to take away from this game. He settled down but certainly wasn’t back to where he was in the first half, though I suppose that’ll take him some time. The light bulb wasn’t suddenly going to turn on and bam, the dominant Severino would be back. It never happens like that. It’ll be a process and innings two through six were part of that process.

Severino put five men on base on innings two through six but only one of them, a Betts double in the second, was really hard hit. To me, his location was much better, and that’s the most important thing. Severino’s stuff never really wavered during this rough stretch — his fastball averaged 97.6 mph Friday, essentially identical to his 97.7 mph season average — but his location was trash. It was less trash after the first inning.

The final line: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 1 HR on 115 pitches. I definitely would not have sent Severino back out for the sixth inning after cramming 101 stressful pitches into only five innings. More walks than strikeouts for the first time this season and only five swings and misses though? Severino’s still not right. He wasn’t getting swings and misses in the last four starts too. Hopefully the last few innings are the start of something.

One Hit
Rick Porcello probably had to go down to the bullpen to get all his pitches in after this one, Spring Training style. This game could’ve gone eleven innings and he still would’ve been out there. One-hit shutout on 86 pitches. 86 pitches! CC Sabathia threw 77 in three innings last night. Porcello threw 18 balls in nine innings. Every batter was strike one, strike two. Look at his pitch locations:

Almost everything in the zone. Fortunately the one hit was a Miguel Andujar solo home run, so the Yankees didn’t get shut out. Their only other baserunner on the night was Gardner’s hit-by-pitch to start the game. Hit-by-pitch, five straight retired, solo home run, 21 straight retired. The Yankees sent 28 men to the plate and only nine saw more than three pitches in their at-bat. Complete and thorough domination. Not one single at-bat was a battle.

On one hand, you have to tip your cap to Porcello. He was outstanding. On the other hand, this is the third different iteration of “pathetic” in the last three games. Sonny Gray got bombed by the crappy Orioles on Wednesday, the bullpen completely melted down Thursday, and now the Yankees laid down and put up zero fight Friday. Hugely important series and this is how they respond? Disappointing doesn’t even begin to cover it.

Leftovers
Gleyber Torres continues to struggle. He went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts and is 6-for-30 (.200) with ten strikeouts since returning from the disabled list, and that includes the two-homer game. Torres also let a ground ball get under his glove for a run-scoring single in the sixth. He had to run a bit to get there, but it’s a ball he has to knock down at the very least. Also, Torres is fine after feeling a cramp in his forearm in the eighth inning. The sooner Gleyber goes back to being good, the better.

Welcome back to the big leagues, Tommy Kahnle. He struck out one and retired all three batters he faced. His fastball averaged 96.0 mph and topped out at 96.6 mph, which is right where he was earlier this season, meaning down quite a bit from last year. David Robertson, the only other reliever used, retired all four batters he faced, one via strikeout.

Box Score, WPA Graph & Standings
Head over to ESPN for the box score and updated standings, and MLB for the video highlights. Here’s our Bullpen Workload page and here’s the loss probability graph:


Source: FanGraphs

Up Next
The Yankees and Red Sox are halfway through this four-game set. They’ll play the third game Saturday afternoon — that’s a 4:05pm ET start — when Chance Adams will make his big league debut. Former Yankee Nate Eovaldi will be on the mound for the BoSox.

Filed Under: Game Stories

DotF: Holder’s hitting streak ends in Trenton’s win

August 3, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

MLB.com posted their updated farm system rankings today and the Yankees, despite all the recent graduations and trades, still rank tenth.”(They) still have one of baseball’s deeper systems and seem to have a never-ending supply of pitching prospects,” says the write-up.

The Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders were rained out. They’re going to play a doubleheader tomorrow. Conor Foley says RHP Mike King is coming up from Trenton to start Sunday. Not sure whether that’s a spot start or a permanent promotion.

Double-A Trenton Thunder (2-1 win over Hartford)

  • 1B Brandon Wagner: 1-4, 1 R, 1 2B
  • LF Trey Amburgey: 1-4, 1 2B, 2 K
  • SS Kyle Holder: 0-3, 1 BB, 1 K — he went 15-for-40 (.375) during his 12-game hitting streak
  • LHP Phil Diehl: 3.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, 4/1 GB/FB — 31 of 47 pitches were strikes (66%)

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Down on the Farm

Game 108: Bounce Back

August 3, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

(Maddie Meyer/Getty)

Gosh, did last night’s game suck, or what? That was no fun. Forget about that and focus on tonight. Speaking of tonight, the Yankees really need a win. Not only for the sanity of the fan base, but also to stay alive in the AL East race. They’re five back in the loss column with 55 games to play. Doable. They just don’t want the deficit to get any worse. I mean, duh.

Big start for Luis Severino tonight! For a few reasons. One, Sonny Gray and CC Sabathia combined for 5.2 innings the last two games, so the pitching staff is a bit of a wreck. The Yankees need innings. And two, Severino himself has been kinda crappy the last few times out. We need to see the good version of Severino again and soon, as in tonight. The Yankees need to bounce back as a team and Severino needs to bounce back personally. Here are the lineups:

New York Yankees
1. LF Brett Gardner
2. RF Giancarlo Stanton
3. SS Didi Gregorius
4. CF Aaron Hicks
5. 2B Gleyber Torres
6. 1B Greg Bird
7. DH Miguel Andujar
8. C Austin Romine
9. 3B Neil Walker

RHP Luis Severino

Boston Red Sox
1. RF Mookie Betts
2. LF Andrew Benintendi
3. 1B Steve Pearce
4. DH J.D. Martinez
5. 2B Ian Kinsler
6. 3B Eduardo Nunez
7. SS Brock Holt
8. C Sandy Leon
9. CF Jackie Bradley Jr.

RHP Rick Porcello


Another hot, humid, and cloudy night in Boston. Sticky to your seat weather. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm ET and you can watch on WPIX locally and MLB Network out-of-market. Enjoy the game.

Injury Update: Aaron Judge (wrist) is progressing well and he could begin taking dry swings and hitting off a tee very soon, as in before the end of the weekend. Good news … Gary Sanchez (groin) is doing some light rehab work. He hasn’t been cleared to start running or to resume baseball activities yet.

Roster Move: Welcome back, Tommy Kahnle. He was called up and Luis Cessa was sent down, the Yankees announced. Kahnle might only be here for one day since Chance Adams is coming up to make tomorrow’s start. Interestingly enough, Aaron Boone said today the Yankees considered a few different options for Cessa’s roster spot today, including some outside the organization. Hmmm.

Filed Under: Game Threads Tagged With: Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Luis Cessa, Tommy Kahnle

International Deals: Vargas, Verdecia, Gaston, Mesa, Bonuses

August 3, 2018 by Mike Leave a Comment

The Yankees are still making moves in international free agency. They added $3.75M in international bonus money prior to the trade deadline with the Adam Warren, Caleb Frare, and Luke Voit trades, and have maxed out their bonus pool at $8,721,125. They started with $4,983,500 and have traded for the maximum additional 75%. Here are the team’s latest international deals.

The New Prospect: SS Alexander Vargas

Vargas, a 16-year-old switch-hitter, hit the international market late because he had not yet been cleared to sign after defecting from Cuba. Once he was cleared, the Yankees landed him for a $2.5M bonus, reports Jesse Sanchez. MLB.com ranked Vargas as the eighth best prospect available during the 2018-19 signing period. A snippet of their write-up:

On offense, he has shown a plus hit tool and is known for making hard contact. He might be a better overall hitter from the left side at the moment, but he shows more power from the right side … Some believe he has the potential to steal 30 bases in the big leagues and sport a .270 batting average. One of the top defenders in this year’s class, Vargas has above average hands with a strong arm and good range to both sides. He’s known for his quick first steps, good body control and fearless approach on offense and defense. He’s also wowed scouts with his ability to track down fly balls in center field.

FanGraphs ranked Vargas as the 14th best prospect in the signing period and says there is “interesting raw material here, nothing explosive.” The Yankees never announce signing bonuses but they did announce the Vargas signing earlier this week, so it is a done deal. The $2.5M bonus is the largest they’ve given an international player since signing 1B Dermis Garcia for $3.2M in 2014.

Yankees sign Verdecia, pursuing Gaston

In addition to Vargas, the Yankees also signed Cuban SS Carlos Verdecia recently, reports Jesse Sanchez. Verdecia received a $325,000 bonus. MLB.com, Baseball America, and FanGraphs did not rank him among the top international prospects available this signing period. I can’t find anything on the kid, though $325,000 is a good sized bonus, so the Yankees think Verdecia has some ability.

Also, according to Jesse Sanchez, the Yankees are pursuing 16-year-old Cuban RHP Sandy Gaston. FanGraphs and Baseball America rank him as the 20th and 24th best prospect in the international class, respectively. MLB.com ranks Gaston as the 15th best prospect in the international class and he is the top unsigned prospect. A piece of their scouting report:

His fastball has been clocked as 97 mph and it’s not uncommon for him to sit at 94-95. That type of velocity is rare in any market and not surprisingly, some scouts wonder if he will be able to command the high velocity on a consistent basis … In terms of secondary pitches, the belief is that those will develop once he signs with a team and receives daily instruction in an academy.

According to MLB.com, the Yankees have signed the No. 8 (Vargas), No. 10 (RHP Osiel Rodriguez), No. 11 (OF Kevin Alcantara), and No. 12 (C Antonio Gomez) prospects available this signing period. Landing Gaston would give them five of the top 15. Pretty cool.

Miscellaneous Bonuses: Rodriguez, Alcantara

Although the Yankees have already finalized a bunch of signings, the dollar figures are just now starting to trickle in. Here are the previously reported bonuses and the new bonuses in one convenient place:

  • SS Alexander Vargas: $2.5M
  • OF Kevin Alcantara: $1M (per Jesse Sanchez)
  • C Antonio Gomez: $600,000
  • RHP Osiel Rodriguez: $600,000 (per Jesse Sanchez)
  • RHP Denny Larrondo: $550,000
  • SS Maikol Escotto: $350,000 (per Baseball America)
  • RHP Juan Carela: $335,000

Rodriguez was originally mentioned as a potential $1M bonus guy, though he signed for $600,000. I wonder what that’s about. Someone get bad information? Or did something pop up in his physical and prompt the Yankees to lower their offer? My guess is it’s the former. The latter would stink.

Anyway, those seven players add up to $5,935,000 in bonuses. However, the Yankees have announced 23 total signings in recent weeks (first announcement, second announcement), so 16 bonuses are still unaccounted for. Players who sign for $10,000 or less are exempt from the bonus pool. I doubt those other 16 players signed for $10,000 or less.

In fact, according to Jesse Sanchez, the Yankees have spent $7.9M in bonus pool money already. They’ve spent $7.9M of their $8,721,125 bonus pool, so they still have about $820,000 to play with. Some or all of it could go to Gaston. What this does mean is the Yankees are almost certainly out of the running for Cuban outfielder Victor Victor Mesa, the consensus top talent on the international market this summer.

There’s no reason to think Victor², who has not yet been cleared to sign, will sell himself way short and sign for a mere $820,000. The Yankees have the smallest bonus pool due to their market size, so other clubs can offer him lots more money. The Orioles, for example, reportedly have $8.5M available and intend to renew their emphasis on international free agency. Seems like the Yankees knew they had no shot at Victor², so they pivoted and signed a bunch of other players instead. Works for me.

Filed Under: International Free Agents Tagged With: Alexander Vargas, Carlos Verdecia, Kevin Alcantara, Maikol Escotta, Osiel Rodriguez, Sandy Gaston

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