Jul
27

Fan Confidence Poll: July 27th, 2009

By

Record Last Week: 6-1 (39 RS, 26 RA)
Season Record: 60-38 (543 RS, 466 RA), 2.5 GB
Opponents This Week: @ Tampa Bay (3 games), @ White Sox (4 games)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Categories : Polls
  • Little Bill

    I’ve voted 10/10 in every poll this season and this one was no different. This is the best team in baseball.

    • V

      Injury risk scares me too much to rate the team above an 8.

      But, I’m an actuar(y)/(ial analyst), so I’m rather conservative.

      I think the Yankees are DEFINITELY better than the Red Sox, Blue Jays, and Orioles, for this year and the next several. The Rays could potentially improve if all of their prospects pan out (and Price figures things out).

      The playoffs are a crapshoot, and while the Yankees are capable of a 2001 Randy Johnson + Curt Schilling domination, they’re also capable of getting three bad pitching performances in a row and being swept in the ALDS.

      • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

        You think the Rays are better than us and the Red Sox are worse?

        • V

          No. I didn’t say that. I said the Rays CAN POSSIBLY MAYBE get better than the Yankees. I think the Red Sox peaked in 2007, and are slowly sliding downward.

          Manny for Bay, the declining David Ortiz, not getting career years out of Dice-K et. al, they’re on the downslide, and their prospects are NOT as high-ceiling as the Yankees’ or Rays’.

  • huuz

    we still need another starter

    -joba will run out of innings (and i’d like to save some for the playoffs)

    -mitre will likely start costing us games down the stretch (especially once he faces better opponents than the A’s and baltimore)

    • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

      Didn’t Cashmoney say he’d disregard innings limits during the playoffs?

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Cash told Andrew Marchand that Joba was going to go to the pen this season because of his innings limits.

        Joba will pitch in the playoffs, but not as a starter.

        • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

          Okay, makes sense.

        • Chris

          Do you have a link? Usually Cashman is not this straight forward….

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

            No, this was what I heard on The Michael Kay Show on Thursday. Andrew Marchand was recapping a Cashman interview/presser. Both Cashman and Girardi had said that they were “monitoring” Joba’s innings for 2009. Marchand said he asked if Joba was going to be shut down, and Cash said no; he asked if he’d go to the pen and Cashman basically said yes.

            Now, I’m sure he worded it in a way to leave himself wiggle room so that it’s not 100% confirmed, but the way Marchand said it, it’s like 95% confirmed that they’re not going to let Joba just keep starting games all through September and October. He’s going to go to the bullpen to keep his innings from going beyond 150/160.

        • Klemy

          It might be fun to watch him let loose with max effort again too.

  • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

    Hey, guys, how was everyone’s weekend? Sorry I’m late, the Cambridge PD arrested me for being black in my own home.

    http://www.instantrimshot.com

    Anyhoo…

    Confidence Level: 9.

    We’re still awesome, but I’m still worried about who our 4th starter will be in the playoffs. With Joba going to be moved to the bullpen (see below) and Phil Hughes already there, we’ve currently got CC, AJ, Andy, and a big question mark.

    Phil Hughes >>>>>>>>> Sergio Mitre

    * http://twitter.com/tsjc68/status/2805434043

    • ARX

      8. As usual (tho in reality its an 8.7, I dont round up.) If the Yanks would stretch Hughes back out and put him in the rotation, I might actually creep up to a full 9 for the first time…*shrug*

    • Nady Nation

      +1. I voted 9 for basically the same reasons. As I’ve noted previously, I am a little worried about Hughes’ same-season transition from starter-reliever-starter (fearing greater injury risk), but that concern is getting dwarfed by our gaping hole in the October rotation’s 4 spot.

    • Chris

      Sergio Mitre FIP: 2.68
      Phil Hughes FIP: 3.80

      The difference is primarily due to Mitre generating a ton of ground balls (over 60%). Considering that ground ball rate is inline with his career average, I don’t see a reason for it to change. Now we just need to work on catching those ground balls…

  • JohnnyC

    Cashman had people scouting Ian Snell over the weekend but Huntington’s talking tough about how the AAA demotion hasn’t “devalued” Snell for trade purposes. Is Snell worth a couple of C+ prospects?

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Is Snell worth a couple of C+ prospects?

      Yes. He’s not worth anything more than that, but he is worth a couple of marginal guys. He’s not a real optimal fix, but if we’re going to throw some Sergio Mitre spaghetti at the wall, we may as well have more than one strand of pasta to throw.

    • The Lodge

      Word on the street is that Snell can be had for the rest of contract ($4+ mil). It’d would be an expensive stop-gap but I’d go for that. Maybe you catch lightning in a bottle and get better than his career 5.something ERA.

      • john

        It would be more interesting if we could pull him (Snell) and a decent reliever (Capps or Grabow) from the Pie-Rats for something along the lines of what we did with Nady and Marte. I really dont know what wee could package for them…it would be nice though. Any ideas??

    • Chris

      What makes you think that Snell would be any better than Mitre?

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        He may not be. Conversely, what makes you think that Mitre will be any better than Snell? Point is, depth is good. No depth is bad.

        • Chris

          Sergio Mitre may not be better than Snell, but he has 3 advantages over Snell:
          1. He’s paid less money
          2. He doesn’t cost any prospects (even bad ones)
          3. He’s already on the team

          The problem is that there are only 25 roster spots. I think a better pickup would be a quality reliever, rather than a crappy starter. Here’s how I see the pitching staff sorting out:

          SP: CC Sabathia
          SP: AJ Burnett
          SP: Hughes or Joba (the other to the pen)
          SP: Andy Pettitte
          SP: Sergio Mitre (to the pen for the playoffs)

          RP: Mariano
          RP: Hughes or Joba
          RP: Aceves
          RP: Damaso Marte
          RP: Phil Coke
          RP: Brian Bruney
          RP: New Reliever pickup

          You should be able to get a reliever that’s better than Ian Snell for about the same price. I liked the idea of Scott Downs, since that would give Mo plus 3 lefties and 3 righties in the pen.

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

            I’m all on board with that.

            But both you and I have Hughes moving back to the rotation when Joba exits it. I’m not sure if the team is on board with moving Hughes back to the rotation this year.

            They should be, but they haven’t shown inclination to.

            • Chris

              I see the value in having Hughes in the pen right now. I am assuming (hoping?) that their plan is to swap the two at some point, so they can maintain the strength of both the rotation and the pen. Moving Hughes out of the pen weakens the pen. Moving Joba out of the rotation weakens the rotation. Doing them together should keep both strong.

              • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

                Again, I agree, but regardless of what the Joba and Hughes plans are, if we can get Ian Snell for a song, that’s a good move. Depth is always good.

                • jsbrendog

                  esp when next on the depth chart is kei igawa’s sunglassed

        • thebusiness

          1.5M for a terrible pitcher isn’t the kind of depth you want.

          Igawa is already there for that.

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

            Ian Snell >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
            >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Kei Igawa

  • Reggie C.

    8/10

    The growing mystery as to what Joba’s role will constitute on this team once he passes his innings pitch limit is something to be of concern in the immediate future. Phil Hughes seems like a natural replacement for Joba. Still, Cash isn’t going to show his cards so Hughes is not guaranteed to slide into Joba’s spot.

    I am concerned with the hole Wang has now left…

    I think Wang’s departure will and should serve as a catalyst for some trading deadline dealing. I’d be interested to see what Seattle would want for Washburn. However, if Cash comes across the right deal for a Wuertz or Sherrill, then he should strike.

    On a minor league tip, Jesus Montero keeps impressing me, and I’m pleased to see a new crop of rising youngsters (Arodys and M-Rich) make impressive debuts.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      I am concerned with the hole Wang has now left…

      Nope. Too easy.

      • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

        Take the high road, TSJC. Take the high road.

        • Klemy

          He went about as high as anyone could have, given the outright obvious route that was lying in front of him. lol

    • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

      Wang is the reason Boston is even close to us right now. If Wang as like he was in 07′ or even midseason 08′, we’d be the best team in baseball and we’d have one of the best pitching staffs, if not THE best, in all of baseball. Wang really stings.

      • Reggie C.

        Removing Wang from the equation, Cash should look to shore up the middle of the rotation. I dont want a back of the rotation type as those roles should be reserved for Pettitte and Joba (eventually Hughes). Washburn fits the bill.

        • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

          Know what else is amazing? You could make a legitimate case that we’re the best team in baseball anyway.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

          Out of curiosity, Reggie, how much would you give up to get Washburn?

          Oh, and I’m shocked you didn’t mention the perfect solution for the CF hole now that Gardner’s hurt:

          Luke Scott.

          • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

            How much to get Mr. Scott?

            • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

              I’d give up Montero, AJax, and Mariano Rivera for him in a heartbeat. Luke Scott would be a 60-60-60 man here in the stadium.

              You heard me: 60 homers, 60 stolen bases, 60 saves as the new closer. I’d go 100-100-100, but half the season is already gone.

              • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

                I say we offer to rename the team the Luke Scotts to sweeten the deal and ensure that he comes to NY.

              • Klemy

                He’s going to demand A-Rod money though. No matter how awesome an idea this is, we can’t have x2 of these contracts!!!

            • Reggie C.

              I’d be shocked to see Cash acquire a corner OF at the trading deadline. I think Luke Scott is available in the offseason when lesser needs are negotiable. Its impossible to say what would be available in the farm after the July 31st trading deadline, but i’ll have a better idea afterwards.

              • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

                I was just teasing you.

                • Reggie C.

                  Gotcha.

                  I just wanted to give RRR some feedback. Luke Scott’s on the periphery given more pressing rotation questions.

                • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

                  Ken Phelps, Ken Phelps!

                • http://myspace.com/lincolnsworld Link

                  They keep telling me about his bat!

          • Reggie C.

            Obviously Cash doesn’t give up Montero, Ajax, Phil, or Joba.

            Trade:
            – Z-McAllister + 1 relief prospect (WLDR, Dunn, Teixeria, etc…) + cash?

            – There’s a lack of hitting depth in the system so i’d guess the package would consist of pitching.

            • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

              I’d rather keep Z-Mac than add Washburn.

              JMHO.

  • LiveFromNewYork

    I’m at a 9 but probably should be an 8 because I’m worried about starting pitching and Grit-less outfield.

  • Kiersten

    Staying strong at a 9 just because our #5 is a huge ? and now we lost Brett for ~3 weeks. Still think this is the best team in baseball though and best Yankee team I’ve seen since ~2001.

    • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

      03′ was a pretty good team.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Yup. We just ran into a red hot Marlins team in the WS. Shit happens.

        • http://imgur.com/NMNVd.jpg Joba Powers (all I needs is a jheri curl mullet)

          David Wells suddenly crippled happens.

          • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

            Gashundheit.

        • Chris

          There was probably a lot of luck in that loss. When you outscore a team in the series, you should generally win the series. Certainly not as bad as 1960, but still….

      • Kiersten

        Eh, all the seasons are starting to blend together in my 20 years. Best team I’ve seen in a long time.

  • Jake H

    I went from an 8 all season long to a 9. Yes Wang’s injury sucks but Mitre has been what you want out of a #5 guy. Keep the team in the ball game every 5th day.

  • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

    I’ve stayed consistently at 8 all year. As long as we’re sitting safely in a playoff spot, 8 is where it stays. I can’t put it any higher because of the loss of Wang and the whole innings limit issue. So same score I’ve given on every vote.

    • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

      Haha, one person voted a 1.

    • Klemy

      Exactly how I’ve felt and why I’ve stayed with an 8. For all the excitement we do have ?s. The only way I’ll go up from here right now will be with a strong showing in the games over the next 2 weeks. Maybe, then I could max at a 9 for the first time this season.

  • Big Blue St3

    I’m stuck at 8, only because I am concerned about that 4th starter come October. But the future looks really bright, Joba and Phil have looked dominant since the break, Montero really seems like a can’t miss. Losing Grit doesnt concern me too much only because it’s only a few weeks, I could live with Melky out there everyday with Swish filling in when needed and Hinske going to right. Maybe bring up J-Rod or Shelly but it will be fine. Just find another starter to take some innings from Joba or stretch Phil out and I might push it to 9.

    • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

      Back on lohud he’s known as GGBG (Gritty Gutty Brett Gardner).

  • Dela G

    voted 9 for the first time all season

    Ain’t no stoppin us now, we’re on the move!

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside
    • Little Bill

      Really hope this hot streak continues through the next 2 weeks. We could bury the Rays with a sweep, 2 out of 3 would put them 8 back in the loss column and there’s only about 60 games left. The Red Sox play the A’s and O’s this week so they could gain ground. Then it’s 4 vs. the Sox at Yankee Stadium. Should be a very interesting stretch with the trading deadline thrown in.

      • Dela G

        damn, why can’t they play the Halos this week. Well at least NOMAAAAAAH gets to play his old team again

  • C.Roy

    Does anyone feel like we could get the duke from the A’s plus another starter? My level would shoot to a 10 if we got the duke and one of harang or zach duke. That way our playoff roto would be CC AJ Pett Harang/Z.Duke with a sick bullpen of coke, the duke, hughes joba and mo. (Joba in the pen because of innings nothing else). The reason I say we could maybe get both because it doesn’t seem that the duke will cost much.

  • Rocky Road Redemption (formerly RAB poster)

    From SI, Red Sox trying to make a big deal:

    http://www.fannation.com/truth.....?eref=sihp

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      I think they’ve got a better chance of prying Adrian Gonzalez out of SD than they do of getting Halladay or V-Mart.

      In any event, none of those deals happen without Theo giving up Buchholz, which probably means all three deals are dead.

      • Reggie C.

        Not if they don’t part with real top prospects. Werner says he’s not going to part with their best prospects but is still going to pull off a “big deal”?? Yeah buddy. Sure.

        And if Werner/Theo pried A-Gonz from SD without giving up Buchholz and ONE of Bowden, Masterson … I might just cause a workplace incident.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

          We’re agreeing with each other. I was saying that Theo will have to give up LaptopMan in order to make any of those deals, and he won’t, so they’re all not going to happen.

          • Klemy

            And with Bucholtz in the rotation right now, I can’t see them even thinking about trading him for Martinez. It’ll just open a bigger whole for them to force another trade.

    • http://leegrantphotography.files.wordpress.com/2009/04/madmax.jpg gxpanos

      I think this could turn out to be a bad panic trade for Theo, like the most transparently bad one that not even Gammo can spin. V-Mart is a 1B who’s bat no longer plays particularly well there, and Youk/Lowell is only a little worse that V-Mart/Youk. It’d be a short-term trade in every sense because they’d still need a catcher in the near future. I’d love for them to lose some of their prospects for a marginal upgrade that doesnt really address future needs.

      And there’s no way Theo gets Doc. They’re grasping at straws. If I were a RS fan I’d be praying for him to stand pat.

    • Tom Zig

      bah that place is crap. So many off topic comments and lack of quality posts.

  • Frank

    I too am concerned by the bottom of the rotation and BP depth. I’ve said before Bruney, or another reliever, needs to step up and do the job. Hopefully, after yesterday’s performance, Bruney has turned the corner. I’d still like to see this team get a RH bat, either as an OFr to replace Gardner, or Ransom (despite his 2 doubles yesterday). Speaking of Gardner, his loss is huge from a defensive standpoint as he is arguably their best defensive OFr. I feel this team will have to trade for a defensive replacement as is there no one to fill that void given A-Jax is not an option per Girardi. And no, Pena is not the answer.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      I’d still like to see this team get a RH bat, either as an OFr to replace Gardner, or Ransom (despite his 2 doubles yesterday).

      Gardner will be back within the month, and Ransom is just fine as a UTI. If he starts sucking, we can bring Peña back.

      We don’t need a bat, we need another arm. I hope this Justin Duchsherer rumor comes true, he’d be the perfect low-risk/high ROI add on piece for the stretch run.

      • http://leegrantphotography.files.wordpress.com/2009/04/madmax.jpg gxpanos

        +amen to that.

  • thebusiness

    Uhh, 2.5 GB? More like 2.5 GA (games ahead)

    • JohnnyC

      BTW, what’s the latest on that rumor?

  • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

    Opponents This Week: @ Tampa Bay (3 games), @ White Sox (4 games)

    Hopefully we don’t get perfect game’d on Sunday.

  • yankee in virginia

    I’d be more confident if Giurardi was a better tactical manager–do you sit Arod – he does need his rest whem Mitre is on the mound and you are statistically more likely to need offense

    Do you keep Arod on the bench when ransom is facing RHP in late inning with a perishable 2 run lead

    why do you extend Pettit – pitches – baserunners – as soon as his cutter loses bite – over the kast 7 years he is done and becomes the “Bad Andy”

    needing runs – you have speed on the bases — why do you leave the DP in place for posada — no he should not bunt but the runners should steal or h&r early

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside
      • I Remember Celerino Sanchez

        I really, really, really ETC.

        I’d add:

        http://tinyurl.com/njh9cl (SFW)

      • LiveFromNewYork

        He spelled “loses” correctly. In teh intertubes age, it morphs into “looses” so often that when I see it spelled correctly, I almost don’t recognize what the writer is attempting to convey.

    • JohnnyC

      It’s hard to hit and run with batters whose first instinct is to “get a good pitch and drive it.” This is not the Angels we’re talking about here. Until and if we ever get that younger, more athletic, faster line-up Cashman keeps talking about, Girardi or any other manager you can think of will have to play the cards they’re dealt. Tony Kubek, HOF inductee, used to invoke the phrase “muscle memory.”

    • http://leegrantphotography.files.wordpress.com/2009/04/madmax.jpg gxpanos

      Oh my Mo. Please tell me this is some kind of ironic performance art meant to pillory dumb fans. That Pettitte “paragraph” is an all-time doozy.

      • The Lodge

        I had a good beat though, and I could dance to it.

    • http://myspace.com/lincolnsworld Link

      oaktag.

  • Pingback: Fan Confidence Poll: August 3rd, 2009 | River Avenue Blues