Aug
27

Fan Confidence Poll: September 27th, 2012

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Record Last Week: 2-4 (18 RS, 24 RA)
Season Record: 74-53 (615 RS, 516 RA, 75-52 pythag. record), 4.0 games up in AL East
Opponents This Week: vs. Blue Jays (three games, Mon. to Weds.), Thurs. OFF, vs. Orioles (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
Categories : Polls
  • Eddard the Great

    We were at a 9 last week and we’re at the same again this week. The lead is back to 4. It should go up over the next 3 days if we can take care of business at home. Offense always goes up and down. It’s the pitching that needs to remain steady to win consistently. CC’s back. Alex next to lengthen the lineup. Andy in a few weeks to solidify our postseason rotation.

    • jjyank

      Love the handle alteration.

  • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

    9. CC back, with no issues after his start, is huge. Going into September, this is about holding serve, trying to build a bit of healthy distance, and maintaining a healthy team during a season that has been about anything but good health. Everything beyond that is same old, same old.

    As for the stuff listed above, Swisher will play out how it plays out. Anything above rock bottom from Pineda is gravy moving forward. Good luck to the Red Sox with that whole franchise thing. We’ll take that Lester salary off your hands, if you’d like.

  • BK2ATL

    Staying at 8.

    CC’s back. Andy and A-Rod are on the way. Aardsma and Feliciano might make it back in Sept.

    Seems like everyone’s taking a turn at getting hot and carrying the offense. I have a feeling that pretty soon, several of our hitters will turn it on AT THE SAME TIME.

    I’m not so sure that I’d be happy WHEN Soriano opts out. He’s only been our best and most consistent pitcher all year. That may be a bigger loss than Swisher and Martin.

    Boston’s moves pretty much guarantee that Swisher will get his “Werth-like offer.” Our plan B will be need to be to figure out a way to get Justin Upton, but I think Boston now has better young and MLB-ready pieces to make the deal.

    • CS Yankee

      Swish ain’t going to beantown as;
      1) They’ll not want to give that money back.
      2) They’ll not let the Yankees get their draft pick
      3) They have done alright in the OF, money will be spent on the IF’ers and P.
      4) Bobby V doesn’t want someone who is funnier than he.

      Soriano maybe, Swisher no.

      • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

        You assume logic and reason from the Red Sox.

        Then again, they don’t have Theo trying to build a second Death Star anymore, so maybe they stand a better chance of getting this right now.

        • RetroRob

          I think the flaw in most Swish discussions is the belief that the Yankees have decided to let him leave and that Swisher wants to leave (I don’t believe either is true), and that Swisher will get Werth money.

          Of course the Yankees shouldn’t sign Swish to a Werth deal, or anything close to it. Yet there’s a large gap between what Swisher will get and the Werth deal.

      • BK2ATL

        We’re not going to pay Swisher’s future contract tab, which went up with Melky situation, Ethier re-signing, and this sudden availability of money and the 1B/RF need for that club.

        They are going to spend money. Just wiser than the Theo bunch. Spending money on Swisher and Soriano both weakens us and strengthens them significantly.

        • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

          Soriano would actually be a smart signing for them. Is Aceves playing himself out of a revamped Boston with some of his behavior? Will they believe in either Bard or Bailey again?

          Swisher’s not worth Werth money for them either. I can see how it’s possible, but some of this is just need for a Xanax increase for some Yankee fans.

          I’ll stop short of saying that they shouldn’t make moves based on weakening the Yankees since there’s actual sense to having an easier path to the division.

          • BK2ATL

            Swisher’s gonna get paid this offseason, and it probably won’t be from us. We still have to deal with figuring out how to extend Cano and/or Granderson plus a real C. And then if Swisher does indeed walk, RF.

            I could see Boston signing Swish, as easily as I could see San Fran signing him. Scarily enough, he will be one of the top 5 FAs on the market. He plays both a decent RF and 1B. Gets on base and has both from both sides of the plate. Great clubhouse guy. I could see him getting a 5 yr deal in this upcoming FA market.

            Soriano has pitched himself into his most advantageous position. I’m pretty sure that he will opt out after the season. Boston should sign him and lock out their bullpen. Neither Bailey, Bard, nor Aveces can be trusted to lock down the closer role over a 162 game season. Soriano can, and in the AL East at that. No brainer.

            These two potential losses will certainly weaken the Yankees in 2013, as we don’t know if Joba does make it back, nor whether Mariano will definitely pitch in 2013, nor whether Aardsma is back at full strength, nor what realistic options are on the table to fulfill the RF void.

            And we still have to deal with the C position.

            • BK2ATL

              …has “power” from both sides….

          • MannyGeee

            wouldnt it completely blow our dicks off to see the Sox management mortgage the last three seasons to only have to ship them off, then spend the next 4 months playing damage control and telling everyone its a “new Day” and how much smarter they’re gonna be…

            to only have them go out in January, overspend on Madsen, Carlos Lee, Victorino and BJ Upton and be all like “We’re back bitches!!!!”

            this would make my life

            • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

              It’s possible.

            • BK2ATL

              Hahaha!!!! Funny, but I don’t think it’ll go that way.

              Probably signing Hamilton and possibly Greinke. But, they now have more trade pieces to make other moves that don’t require bringing on astronomical salary. They currently are set up to make a run at Justin Upton, no thanks to the Dodgers trade.

              I still don’t get why the Dodgers did this deal. Other than A-Gon, why Beckett and Crawford??? Then Punto too??? And very little salary relief???

              • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

                They better hope they’re competitive immediately if Hamilton and Grienke winds up being the plan.

          • Sweet Dick Willie

            Soriano would actually be a smart signing for them.

            I disagree.

            Bailey is 4 years younger than Soriano and because he’s coming off an injury, will probably not command as big of contract as Soriano.

            • BK2ATL

              Bailey gets hurt EVERY year. There’s always something with him. Can’t be trusted over 162 game season.

              • Sweet Dick Willie

                But they won’t contend next year anyway.

                The last thing a non-contender needs is an expensive closer.

                • BK2ATL

                  Have you been checking out the wild card races in both leagues???

                  I’m pretty sure that a healthy Boston club can be in that group next year. Maybe not contending for the AL East title, but one of 2 wild cards, yeah they can.

                  • YanksFanInBeantown

                    With what lineup? Jacoby Ellsbury seems to have returned to being Jacoby Ellsbury, so they’re looking at Ortiz, Pedroia, Middlebrooks and Saltalamacchia as their big boppers with Jose “Can he hit enough to be a utility man” Iglesias or Mike “I am a utility man” Avilez at short. The rest of their outfield consists of Cody Ross and, Ryan Kalish? Daniel Nava? And they have no first baseman to speak of.

    • CS Yankee

      Swish ain’t going to beantown as;
      1) They’ll not want to give that money back.
      2) They’ll not let the Yankees get their draft pick
      3) They have done alright in the OF, money will be spent on the IF’ers and P.
      4) Bobby V doesn’t want someone who is funnier than he.

      Soriano maybe, Swisher no.

      • jjyank

        I agree, though just a small correction: the Sox wouldn’t give us their pick, that pick disappears and the Yanks get a comp round pick.

        • BK2ATL

          How much are these 1st round/comp picks really worth now that there’s a cap on draft spending? Just one more/less headache in trying to lock in a player at a slotted rate. Just a question.

          Before this latest CBA, I’d agree with you. Now, I don’t think a Boston-like situation, where there is a definite need for a closer and a Soriano type closer is available, would be hindered by threat of losing a draft pick.

          Boston didn’t exactly “blow up” the squad as much as shedding a tremendous amount of salary for unproductive, expendable players (A-Gon excluded). Beckett, Crawford and Punto won’t be missed and that production can be replaced. They can be AL East competitive sooner than people think.

          • Hardy

            I would argue that high draft picks have become more valuable with the new CBA:
            In the past teams could set their own draft budget. With a high budget and few high picks it was still possible to sign good players who fell to later rounds due to “signability concerns”. Now the draft budget for a team is set by the picks in rounds 1-10. Therefore teams with few high picks also do not have money for players who fall to later rounds.

  • MannyGeee

    I have been at an 8 for the better part of 2 years, however in the wake of the dismantling of “The BEST Sawx Team EVAHHH” (AKA the Modern Day 1927 Murderer Row), I am going up to a 10 for one week and one week only. Fuck you Larry Luccino, John Henry, Jerry Remy, Peter Gammons and all of Red Sox Nation… enjoy rebuilding again, assholes…

    and oh yeah, this:

    http://www.nesn.com/2011/01/20.....story.html

    I can read that every day. Just brilliant.

    • vin

      Nice.

    • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

      I endorse all of this.

      • MannyGeee

        funny thing is if you read that article again, he spent 1000 words blowing the entire team with the exception of Salty, who has only been their best player this season, and only been a minor distraction since dawning the sacred crimson hose…

        #FireyLatinos!

    • http://twitter.com/erica_lynnnn Erica

      I really need to get on printing and laminating that story.

      I love this post. +1000000000000

      • MannyGeee

        glad I made your morning.

      • MannyGeee

        and sidebar, its only the 4th link down when you google “2011 Red Sox”… lets get a grassroots campaign going to make it #1. Because it IS that culturally significant, and thank you for asking.

        • http://twitter.com/erica_lynnnn Erica

          How can we make this happen? Can it be a resume-builder? CAN it?

    • Mandy Stankiewicz

      So good!
      I also remember ESPN Hot Stove declaring Boston would ‘run away’ with the AL-East, Agon was looking at the AL MVP, and they all looked forward to the inevitable Phillies/Boston WS.

      Commentators; the 1927 comparison is the kiss of death. Though a much better season, please also see the 96′ Braves.

  • vin

    Is it another week? Then I guess it’s another 8.

    I’ve voted 10 once in the last 4 years… and that was after they won the WS. For me to be a 9 right now, they’d have to A) be rolling, and B) have quite a few more guys healthy (Pettitte, Mo, and Alex for starters). That’s just the way I do it.

  • Kramerica Industries

    I wish it were September 27th.

  • CS Yankee

    Stayed an 8.

    Need to regain the best record and hopefully Baltimore & Oakland win the WC…if were the #2 seed, then hopefully its against the ChiHawk’s and Tampa and detroit winner gets moves onward to Texas.

    Arod & Pettitte in full form should merit a 9.

    • MannyGeee

      “Arod & Pettitte in full form should merit a 9.”

      Soooo, we should not expect a 9 from you until the odometer takes a lap and we hit 2007 the second time through?

      • CS Yankee

        Other ways to get to a 9, but getting two key guys back to their norms would be the clearest path back to a 9 (for me at least).

        Other ways would include but not necessary be limited to;
        1) Jones hitting lefties or breaking balls & Raul returning to earlier form
        2) Curtis K’ing less while maintaining the power along with Tex
        3) CC going beast-mode (ala 2008/09)
        4) Phelps continuing his development.
        5) Claiming/trading for another high-end pitcher.

  • Kosmo

    if NY goes 20-15 the rest of the way they finish with 94 wins which means Tampa would have to go 25-10 to win the division.
    right now it would be great for NY to go on nice little run over the next 2 weeks.

  • Rob Sawyer

    I wish this poll were more specific. For example, I am a “9”, very confident, that they will make the playoffs. However, I have very little confidence (around a “3”) that, as currently constructed, they will go very far in the playoffs.

    • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

      This comes up pretty much every week.

      I actually like the “one number” approach. Leads to us having to balance out all these different factors, and better conversation. This isn’t a scientific process, and I’d like to not pretend it is.

      Just my $0.02.

      I don’t even try to predict how far any team will go in the playoffs. Anything can happen.

      • Bunt Gardner

        3/4s of the team could contract cholera the night before the playoffs and someone would say “see, told you they would flop in the playoffs”.

        • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

          “Playoffs in the Time of Cholera.”

          Good book.

    • Sweet Dick Willie

      IMO, “how a team is constructed” is not nearly as important to post season successas “getting hot” is.

  • http://twitter.com/erica_lynnnn Erica

    7. I don’t know why. Feeling morose in general and any time I watched the games this weekend, the Yanks left the bases loaded.

    However, if they DON’T keep leaving the bases loaded, this entire week will be a late-summer cool breeze.

    • Robinson Tilapia aka Melky’s Webmaster

      I told you not to hang out with Greg this weekend. See what happens?

      • http://twitter.com/erica_lynnnn Erica

        But really, though.

  • Andy Pettitte’s Fibula (formerly Manny’s BanWagon)

    9 for this year since they seem to have as good a chance and any team if they get Arod and Pettitte back healthy.

    6 for 2014 and 2015. I can’t see how they can overcome their aging core while cutting payroll at the same time while having players like Swisher, Cano and Granderson due big salary increase.

  • steve s

    I am pretty shocked at the optimism (I’m clocking in at a 5 which means to me that I have no idea whether this team is headed). I guess that being up by 4 with 35 to play is something we’d all would have signed up for in April but going 17-19 over the last 36 is a big enough sample for me to be concerned that the Yanks are more than just stumbling along and to question whether they will have the stamina to finish strong. On the other hand this is the first time in many years that actually making the playoffs would be a real accomplishment so I am sort of enjoying that there is a real pennant race going on. Would love to see Cashman pull something out of his hat by 8/31 to help (preferably a righty bat as Yanks have been looking very vulnerable to lefties lately).

    • Ted Nelson

      In-season fluctuations happen with every team.

  • LarryM.,Fl.

    I’m at 7 down from a high of 9 at or about Spring Training time. But the chain of events during the season has me at 7. Pitching with rotation I ‘m comfortable with CC, Kuroda, Hughes, Phelps and Freddie if Andy comes back then push him between Kuroda and Hughes. Worry about the playoffs when we get there.

    The Defense is fine when Ichiro is in left and Martin is catching.

    The offense is baffling. I don’t have the faith in the offense to put AB’s together for non HR produced runs. Teix and Grandy just don’t put the ball in play for productive outs IMHO. Ibanez and Jones starting to show their age at the plate and in the field.

    As far as the Red Sox’s are concerned. Cleaning house of the big contracts will not bring them a winner. Now, they created issues in LF, 1b, pitching spot. The Yankees have to worry about themselves. If we keep our house in order no matter what Boston does. We will be in the hunt at years end. The hope we can work it out with Swisher to present a package which does not impair the team ‘s chances of putting quality on the field or hindering the cap of 189. Swisher looks good in the number 2 slot. As I have said prior, ” Cano and Swisher would be my priorities in the future signings. Grandy has too many unproductive outs. His K’s are outrageous.

  • LiterallyFigurative

    Staying at 9, although I’m seriously concerned with the offense.

    Cano has looked terrible lately vs. LHP. He has to be a beast in order for us to win. He’s our GREAT hitter, while the others are good to average.

    I’m cool with our pitching. CC, Kuroda, even Hughes have been strong. Hughes will have a clunker here or there, but he’s mostly been good for us.

    I’m still interested on how the Yanks fill out the OF/Catcher going into future years and how (and how much) they deal with Cano.

  • RetroRob

    I remain consistently at an eight, which is good number for me. No other organization in baseball would get anything higher.