• A low blow
    By

    Ben was digging through some stats earlier and noticed that the pundits over at Sons of Sam Horn have managed to grab the Baseball-Reference.com sponsorship for Phil Hughes’ player page. It reads:

    Will be cubically transformed soon. Sincerely, The Fans of Phil Hughes’s favorite baseball team; the Red Sox and their fans at SoSH.
    Ouch, that kinda stings. We all think of Phil as our own; we’ve watched him grow from a little-known high schooler to a soon-to-be frontline pitcher, but the fact is that Hughes was a Red Sox fan before stepping over to the Dark Side, thanks to his family roots in Rhode Island. Sawx phenom Clay Buchholz might be getting the call to pitch one end of Boston’s doubleheader Friday, and we could do something underhanded like sponsor his page with a message like “He stole 29 laptops from his high school and tried to sell them,” but nah, we won’t stoop to that level. Reminding us of Phil’s Red Sox allegiance stings, but not as bad as potentially blowing a 14.5 game division lead. · (11) ·

Back when Jason Giambi was placed on the DL in early June, many Yankees fans turned on him. That they started winning some games at that point only made things worse. People were even saying ridiculous things, like Miguel Cairo being better for the team than Giambi. He hadn’t done a whole lot lately — of course, because of his injury — so people began to write him off, as Yankees fans are wont to do.

In 10 plate appearances since returning, Giambi has four hits, two of which were freakin’ crushed. On one of the six outs he’s made, he hustled his fat ass down the line and beat out a double play ball — one that he certainly wouldn’t have beat out last season.

The only question now is how to get him into the lineup regularly. Damon has been hitting .291/.395/.398 over the past month, which is just fine for a leadoff hitter — actually, it’s almost ideal. The power comes from other outlets, making Damon’s only job getting on base and swiping the occasional bag.

If you want both Damon and Giambi in the lineup, you have to sacrifice. You could put Giambi at DH and Damon in the outfield, but that means sitting Matsui (.350/.390/.667 in the past month), Melky (.361/.392/.597) or Abreu (.336/.395/.586). Another solution would be to play Giambi at first over Andy Phillips (.270/.303/.342). That would provide a significant offensive upgrade, but you’d be punting some valuable defense.

So we have the question: Do you play Giambi less, thereby reducing his potential impact? Or do you play him at first and hope his offense outweighs his defense?

Categories : Analysis
Comments (20)
  • Peavey opts for college ball
    By

    In the 24th round of the amateur draft this year, the Yanks made a Hail Mary selection when they announced their pick of Greg Peavey. Considered one of the top young arms in the nation, Peavey was impressive this summer while pitching in a summer league near Oregon State’s campus in Corvallis, and he says that he was impressed with the Yanks’ offer. However, Peavey has opted for college over the pros for now. In two years, when Peavey is draft-eligible again, expect him to go higher than he did this year. · (7) ·

Due to a busy weekend, blogging was light. So I have a post relating to Saturday’s game for you here. We’ll talk about yesterday’s win later.

Watching Mike Mussina go 4-0 over his last four starts, I was struck by how utterly the same Mussina seemed on the mound. All of a sudden, with the same stuff that had been getting hit hard earlier in the year, Mussina had hitters flailing at pitches. Over his last 25.1 innings, Mussina has an ERA of 2.84, but he hasn’t found miles on is fastball. I wondered what had changed.

A quick look at the numbers revealed some interesting trends. First, I thought, maybe it was an issue of hits. Was Mike Mussina doing a better job of getting outs? Over those 25.1 innings, Mussina has allowed 29 hits or 1.15 per inning. Over his previous 88.2 innings, Mussina had allowed 1.14 hits per inning. So the answer wasn’t to be found in hits.

Maybe home runs had been Mussina’s bugaboo this year. Moose has surrendered 2 longballs over his last 25.1 innings or 0.7 per 9 IP. Previously, Mussina had given up home runs at a rate of 1.12 per 9 IP. That’s a change but it hardly counts for a change in ERA from 4.97 over 88.1 IP to 2.84 over his last four starts. Something else must be at work here, I thought.

As the game unfolded on Saturday, I realized what has spurred on Mike Mussina’s success, and it is a lesson in pitching and Three True Outcomes. For the third start in a row on Saturday, Mike Mussina had not walked a batter. Recently, Mussina has issued 0.7 BB per 9 IP. Prior to that, he had issued 2.23 per 9 IP.

Meanwhile, on the strike out front, Mussina over his last 25.1 innings has 19 Ks or 6.75 per 9 IP. In the 88.2 IP prior, he had a K/9 IP of 5.48. Ah-ha! Here we have the keys to Mike Mussina’s success. He has allowed fewer home runs while cutting down on the number of baserunners per 9 IP by 1.5. He’s keeping balls out of play by striking out more hitters per game. Thus, he has pitched significantly better of late.

But I can’t help but fear a regression. Despite the increase in strike outs and the decrease in walks, Mussina isn’t throwing anymore strikes than he was before his resurgence. Around two-thirds of his pitches have been strikes during his last 25.1 innings and around two-thirds were strikes during the previous 88.2 IP. So what’s happened?

Well, the Yankees and Mike Mussina have had the distinct pleasure of facing the Royals, the White Sox, the Royals again and the Indians. Mussina is, in other words, beating bad and impatient teams with struggling offenses. He’s beating teams that strike out a lot, that haven’t, of late, been hitting a lot of home runs and are among the worst in the American League at getting on base.

Mussina’s next game will be the big test. He’s due to face Detroit on Thursday. In the Tigers, he’ll face another struggling team but this is one team that is adept at putting the ball in play and hits for power as well. If Mike Mussina can mow down the Tigers this week as he did the Indians on Saturday, then I’ll be a believer. For now, I’ll just enjoy the ride and optimistically hope for the best from a pitcher of which I am always skeptical.

Categories : Game Stories
Comments (8)
  • Better than a trade for Gagne
    By

    So Eric Gagne blew two games this weekend against the Orioles. Meanwhile, the Yanks took the season series from a very passive Cleveland Indians team. The Yanks find themselves just four games out (and with a better Pythogorean record than the Red Sox). So the Yanks are arguably a better team right now. I think they can find a way to overcome a four-game deficit before the end of September. Time for a great pennant race. · (9) ·

And 2 weeks later, they’re calling him “Eric Gag-me” in Beantown.

Triple-A Scranton (9-4 loss to Buffalo)
Brett Gardner: 2 for 5, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 K – 6 hits in his last 4 games
Alberto Gonzalez: 4 for 4, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 1 SB – I see hitting in the 3-hole agrees with him…it’s even more impressive when you conisder that the opposing starter was this guy
Erubiel Durazo: 0 for 5, 1 K – 3 for his last 21
Eric Duncan: 0 for 4, 1 R, 1 K
Bronson Sardinha: 2 for 4, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 K
Ben Kozlowski: 3 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 3 BB, 1 K, 1 Balk – he’s having such a good year, it’d be a shame if he didn’t get a Sept. call-up
Colter Bean: 1 IP, 2 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 0 K, 1 WP – guess he cleared waivers…
TJ Beam: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K
Jose Veras: 2 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 2 K, 1 HBP

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Categories : Down on the Farm
Comments (7)
Aug
11

No use for a title

By in Down on the Farm. · Comments (14) ·

Update: We have a former Yankee sighting. I’m chillin’ out watching the Little League World Series on ESPN, and guess who’s the head coach for the squad from Chandler, Arizona? None other than Clay Bellinger. Awesome, just awesome.  

There’s a rumor floating around that the Yanks and first round pick Andrew Brackman have either agreed to, or are close to agreeing to a deal worth $3M, which would be $2.1M over slot. Again, this is just a rumor.

Triple-A Scranton (4-1 loss to Rochester)
Brett Gardner: 1 for 3, 1 BB, 1 K – picked off second
The Kevin’s: combined 0 for 7, 1 RBI, 3 K – Thompson drove in the run
Angel Chavez, Erubiel Durazo & Alberto Gonzalez: all 1 for 4
Eric Duncan: 2 for 4, 1 R – too little, too late my friend
The Ghost of Kei Igawa’s Ghost: 6 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 8-3 GB/FB – well, at least he’s smiling in his SWB mugshot
Brian Bruney: 1.2 IP, 0 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 0 K, 1 WP – king of the 3-ball count
Chris Britton: 0.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K – in other news, Kyle Farnsworth has a 1.59 WHIP

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Categories : Down on the Farm
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Kei Igawa, the most disappointing Yankee pitcher since Carl Pavano, may be donning the San Diego fatigues soon. According to numerous reports such as this one on ESPN.com, the Padres, who tried to acquire Igawa in July, have put a waiver claim on the lefty. The Yanks hope to acquire relief pitching for Igawa who is just 2-3 with an ERA a tad under 7.00. Let’s hope the Yanks can make this happen.

Update by Mike: I was just thinking…the Pads recently DFA’ed old friend Boomer Wells, would anyone be down with an Igawa-for-Boomer deal? If nothing else, it gives us a starter to cover Clemens’ start on Tuesday without having to finagle the 40-man roster or throw Jeff Karstens out there. Maybe he could even suck it up and serve as a lefty out of the ‘pen for the rest of the year. Random musings on my part…

Update by Ben: Joe and I were talking about Mike’s suggestion late last week when the Padres DFA’d Wells. Wells, we noted, is persona non grata in the Bronx following the 2003 World Series and comments Boomer made upon leaving New York. He’s not coming back. But he also wouldn’t be a bad influence on Hughes or Chamberlain as someone noted in the comments. If anything, Wells is a bit of a buffoon off the field but on the field, he’s always been a top competitor.

Categories : Transactions
Comments (28)
Aug
10

Joba is a beast

By in Game Stories. · Comments (10) ·

2 IP, 0 H, 0 BB, 4 K. Nuff said.

Categories : Game Stories
Comments (10)

Six strong from Hughes…2 perfect from Joba…Mo for the 9th…could you script it any better?

Oh, and Eric Gagne coughed up a 4 run lead tonight. He’s now allowed 11 baserunners in 3.1 innings for the Sawx.

Triple-A Scranton (7-6 loss to Rochester
Brett Gardner: 0 for 4, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K
Bronson Sardinha: 0 for 5, 1 K – 3 for 19 since returning to Scranton
Kevin Reese: 2 for 3, 1 R, 1 RBI, 1 BB – threw a runner out at 3rd
Alberto Gonzalez & Chris Basak: both 2 for 4, 1 R, 1 RBI – the Attorney General doubled
Eric Duncan: 0 for 3, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K, 1 E (missed catch)
Matty D: 6 IP, 7 H, 5 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 12-5 GB/FB
Sean Henn: 1.1 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K
Edwar: 0.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K – what, no Ks?

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Categories : Down on the Farm
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