Fan Confidence Poll: March 31st, 2014

Sunday Night Open Thread
Eduardo Nunez, Vidal Nuno, and Triple-A depth

Spring Training Record: 17-12-2 (128 RS, 106 RA)
Regular Season Games This Week: Mon. OFF, @ Astros (three games, Tues. to Thurs.), @ Blue Jays (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Sunday Night Open Thread
Eduardo Nunez, Vidal Nuno, and Triple-A depth
  • I’m One

    I can’t vote!! All I get is the results!

    While my real feeling for this team is between a 7 & 8, I’d vote a 10 today (11 if it went there), simply because the season starts tomorrow!

    • Jim Is A (Bored) Peckerhead

      I’m going to be extremely jealous watching so many other teams start today.

    • CS Yankee

      Can’t vote as well.

      9 today, 10 tomorrow for sure.

      The drive for #28 starts in one day.

    • OB/GYN Kenobi, bushmaster

      Same here. Can’t vote. GOP vote suppression. Or is it Putin? Meh, same difference.

      6, up from 5, just for opening day.

      • OldYanksFan

        Mitt says only the 51% can vote.
        Get a job (or 2nd or 3rd job) loser!

  • I’m One

    OK, cache cleared, vote accepted, all is well in the world again.

    • OB/GYN Kenobi, bushmaster

      Me too now.

  • Mike HC

    10. Irrational confidence running high this opening day. Nothing short of a snow storm could bring me dow … oh, shit

  • Eddeno Anna

    We’re at a 10 once again. This club is poised for a great season. They’ve upgraded so many positions. The pitching staff will be one of the best in baseball. CC, Hiroki, Nova, Tanaka, Pineda is better than what they had last season. I know a lot rides on Jeter and Teixera on the IF because 2B and 3B are so weak but I think they’ll surprise some folks. And it’s not like they have to carry the offense anymore. That’s what Ellsbury, McCann, Beltran and Soriano are here for. Phelps-Kelley-Robertson will be as good as 7-8-9 as any. And they’ve got MLB caliber players like Eduardo Nuney stashed away in AAA when they need them.

  • Darren

    I voted a 10 today. I ain’t no commie!

  • handtius

    10! Opening day is a day away and Nuney McMuney is in AAA!

    • CS Yankee

      thinking that Anna and solarte will be down or out in the next 45 days but Nuney isn’t the one to replace either…Ryan and Sizemore will be the first replacements for the IF.

      • I’m One

        Ryan with certainty and I hope Sizemore proves he’s ready to replace Solarte (if necessary. Better would be that Solarte shows ST wasn’t a complete fluke and that he’s at least competent in a utility role. I like his positional flexibility and he has a far better name tool than Sizemore.).

    • Betty Lizard

      “Tomorrow! Tomorrow! I love you
      And Nuney in Triple A!”

  • Farewell Mo

    Most looking forward to seeing the Yanks running out a quality starting pitcher everyday.

  • SamVa

    Here’s my defense (rip me apart naysayers):
    10/10 The Rotation- We have a pitch framing genius- C.C. may not be an ace this year, but something comes with knowing the type of pitcher he is now as opposed to the shock of the loss of velocity from last season. He’s a gamer. He’s Shabazz.(it’s tourney time so why not)
    Kuroda- If he runs out of gas, fortunately this team seems to have the depth to replace him (namely Tanaka)
    The question is can he have a hot first 3-4 months a la 2013 and help us to the playoffs
    Nova- Are we getting the 50/50 all or nothing Nova or are we getting the highly cost effective mid 3’s ERA– I believe Super Nova. That curveball.
    Tanaka- knows how to win. Find me a better 3/4 starter in baseball. Kuroda runs out of gas– here’s your playoff filler
    Pineda/Phelps/Aceves/ManBan/Turley- Slider is filthy- Fastball command- as long as he continues to miss down. Phelps is Mr. consistent but not flash. Aceves was brilliant as Mendoza part 2. ManBan- can he come back?
    Granted, a lot of things need to come together for this to work, but in my mind i’m thinking top three rotation in the AL. (Tampa/Detriot)

    8/10 The Offense: The biggest “hit” on the offense this season seems to be that effectively they replaced Cano’s production + a little more, but lost that doing the replacement level players in the dirt. Argue with me- but I’d much rather have that production spread out over three/four players. Chances are, all of them aren’t gonna slump or be hot at the same time, but 4 5 dollar lottery tickets, is more likely you hit the winner then 1 20.
    McCann is a leader. Beltran is a leader. Ellsbury brings every tool except an arm.. maybe the power comes back. Kelly “the bargain” Johnson can be a force.
    I believe the lineup should be–
    (I know Jeter won’t drop, but imagine that speed up top)

    Defensively- Outfield (8/10)- Two plus ranged defenders- Soriano/Beltran should be semi-passable hopefully more Ichiro esque than Abreu.

    Infield (8/10) – You know the knocks- Jeter’s range- Kelly’s new position- will Mr. Roberts be the solid or the shadow of his former self? But McCann’s pitch framing and Tex’s defense are huge plus’

    • OB/GYN Kenobi, bushmaster


      But I did see your 8/10 for the infield. Please, step away from the pipe.

  • Tanaka is my Shidoshi (AKA Electric Nunez ll)

    There is a pretty decent chance that with the exception of catcher, every infield position will be manned by a clearly below league avg player.

    In my estimation, coupled with the strength of the competition in the division, nothing warrants anywhere near all these 7’s & 8’s in the poll numbers, even taking to account beginning-of-the-year optimism. I give it a ‘5’.

    I recall last year that until later in the season. most poll numbers were above avg, concentrated mostly in the 6-7 range, and of course steadily fell as the year goes on. I expect better this year, but a similar though not as steep decline wouldn’t surprise me.

    • SamVa

      The pitching rotation is so much deeper though– and the lineup is much more spread out threat wise. I think much better year- high 80’s in wins

      • OB/GYN Kenobi, bushmaster

        Funny. I agree wrt wins. I’ve been saying that this team has 85-88 wins written all over it for awhile. And I still feel that way. To me, and adding in the state of the farm, this points to 5-6 type ratings.

        Higher is Pollyanna.

      • vicki

        our rotation last year was the fourth most productive in the league.

    • Jim Is A (Bored) Peckerhead

      I know, it sucks that we don’t get to count catcher, and outfielders don’t matter, and our starting rotation is irrelevant.

      • Tanaka is my Shidoshi (AKA Electric Nunez ll)

        Right, because that’s what I said, the other positions don’t count. But you knew that already.

    • Jorge Steinbrenner

      1. The infield’s shaky. We didn’t know that. Thanks for letting us know.

      2. “Opinion,” not “estimation.” The only thing you’re estimating here is your own opinion.

      3. Is that really what poll numbers looked like last year? I remember a hell of a lot of 6-7’s that only fell off in September or so for obvious reasons. None of this is an exact science anyway.

      4. That all being said, you’re entitled to be as negative as you’d like to be. This is America, after all.

      • Tanaka is my Shidoshi (AKA Electric Nunez ll)

        1st definition in estimation- “judgment or opinion”. You’re only considering the more literal def. given, which is def #3, “approximte calculation

        I actually think you’re more right about 3), I think the numbers stubbornly held longer than I indicated. I started off lower and stayed that way, FWIW, so maybe I’m just more pessimistic to begin with.

        • Jorge Steinbrenner


        • OB/GYN Kenobi, bushmaster

          Yup. People had ridiculously irrational hope last year just because the bailing wire and chewing gum managed to work to keep us (technically) in contention for the playoffs far deeper than the pieces – or pythag record for run differential – had any right to.

          This team is better, and with a regression to the mean for luck (in 1 run games especially) I see 85-88 wins. Above that I will be overjoyed.

          • vicki

            as much the rays et al. phoning in august as bailing wire. but yep. hope is funny, and we’ve all seen too many sports movies.

            • OB/GYN, bushmaster

              Love sports movies.

    • JRod

      “There is a pretty decent chance that with the exception of catcher, every infield position will be manned by a clearly below league avg player.”

      Tex has never been anything but far above replacement level, unless you are counting his very short season last year, when he was still roughly at replacement level. Jeter likewise. Roberts has performed at or even comfortably above replacement level his entire career, save for his rookie season, and 74 PAs in 2012. Johnson has never been below replacement level in his entire career. Ryan has never been below replacement level in his entire career. So assigning a “decent chance” to your assertion that every infield position other than C being manned by a “clearly below league avg player” is an extreme reach. In fact, the chance of all of them being clearly below league average is very remote indeed. It’s very likely that in aggregate they will perform at league average or slightly above.

    • Preston

      We got 10 WAR from our offense last season. We got 5.4 from our four infielders. That’s with 6 WAR from Cano. I think there is a reasonable chance that this infield, even with all it’s flaws, will outproduce last year even without Cano. They only need to average 1.4 WAR per position, not a lofty expectation. As for the team as a whole, I wouldn’t be surprised if Ellsbury and McCann produce the 10 WAR that last seasons position players compiled. I fully expect this years position players end up over 20 WAR. On the pitching side we had the 4th best rotation in baseball a year ago. CC is likely to bounce back at least a little. Tanaka should adequately replace Andy, and whatever Pineda/Phelps and company can produce will probably be a big step up over Hughes. And considering that the Tiger’s lost Fister, the Rangers lost Garza and have had injuries to Harrison, Holland and Darvish already, it’s pretty easy to argue the Yankees rotation could be the best in baseball this season. The bullpen is uncertain without Rivera. But there is plenty of upside to get excited about when you have guys with stuff like Betances, Ramirez and Montgomery potentially stepping in and making an impact this year.

      • CS Yankee

        This, this and this!

      • vicki

        i like optimistic preston.

  • Betty Lizard

    Last day before the season! How can I be anything other than a 10?

    “If it be not to come, it will be now. If it be not now, yet it will come—the readiness is all.”

    • vicki

      betty! you couldn’t have picked something from one of the comedies?

  • Eselquetodolosabe

    Oh man, I’m getting that fear of injury feeling in the pit of my stomach….. Or maybe it’s just gas…. Yeah, it was gas !
    Com’on Els, Com’on Tex, make my stomach into a liar. My gut also says…. McCaan will be huge with his leadership, management of the pitching staff, and strong numbers offensively. Impressed with the offseason work he’s done to improve his throwing.

    • Wheels

      McCann’s gonna hit 20 into the short porch this year.

      • CS Yankee

        16 to the short porch another dozen elsewhere.

        • Wheels

          My irrational exuberance is showing.

  • Jorge Steinbrenner

    We’ll play along with all this and start off with an “8,” but really, it’s Opening Day. We’re nothing but a 10 around here on Opening Day.

    • OB/GYN Kenobi, bushmaster


      FotD™: that snow this morning was not the last we’ll see this spring.

  • lightSABR

    10. And for a day, I believe it. After last year, just watching an actual Major League baseball team is going to be a blast.