Fan Confidence Poll: May 28th, 2012

Kuroda dominates A's, Yanks win fifth straight
5/28-5/30 Series Preview: Anaheim Angels

Record Last Week: 5-1 (28 RS, 16 RA)
Season Record: 26-21 (217 RS, 198 RA, 26-21 pythag. record), 2.5 games back in AL East
Opponents This Week: @ Angels (three games, Mon. to Weds.), Thurs. OFF, @ Tigers (three games, Thurs. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Kuroda dominates A's, Yanks win fifth straight
5/28-5/30 Series Preview: Anaheim Angels
  • LarryM.,Fl.

    I voted 8 on the confidence poll. The Yankees played some weaker teams in the Royals and A’s. Displaying some signs of getting it together again. The tests against LAA will be more indicative of the teams return to normalcy. But the factors that have me more positive than last week vote of 7 is Andy Pettitte’s pitching which has made the staff a bit stronger. Giving another chance at staying in a game and picking up a win. Kuroda pitched well yesterday but the A’s are horrible at the plate. I do not think Kuroda will fair well against any team with strong lefty hitting such as Texas, Boston, Baltimore. Hughes appears to improve with each outing and remains strong.

    I believe the Yankee offense will improve if and when Gardner gets back into the lineup. Even the poor RISP should improve as the players are placed in the order which is relentless to the opposing pitcher.

    Its a long season and much will occur to each team that will impact the run for the playoffs. Which team will adjust favorably to the predictament that it finds itself in.

  • Nick

    7 for me. More consistent pitching and a continuance of the offensive resurgence against some better pitching will bump it back to 8.

    A little worrying to see Grandy slumping atm especially so hope he can break out.

  • Ro

    I’m starting to believe that Russell Martin is playing himself out of New York. I no longer see the Yankees signing him long term after the season. The early and overall consensus is that the pitchers like throwing to Stewart. While Stewart, in general, hasn’t been rated anything more than a back-up catcher, there is a lot to be said when the cost factor will be evaluated after the season. I like Martin. I like that he is really very good behind the plate as a defensive catcher, but Stewart has similar qualities. Both do not hit for average, so it’s been a wash there. Martin does have greater power and should be good for 10-12 homers (and perhaps as many at 15 or so) per season. But that is production (when talking homers) that the Yanks can get elsewhere in the line-up. Not sure why I write this in this thread. Just a though this morning. But when the offseason starts, the Yanks need to start evaluating where they will be spending their money. If Romine is back in July, it will take the rest of the season and off season to work himself back into shape. Perhaps by spring training next year, he’ll be able to start full time at AAA. Would a tandem of Stewart and Cervelli (with Romine healthy at AAA) be suitable for the Yanks in 2013? Gary Sanchez is likely a full two seasons away still. My question is with the new CBA agreement, would the most intelligent thing for the Yanks to offer Martin arb (instead of contract initially) after the season? If they could get him for 1 additional year for around $9mm, then ok, but would the Yanks be entitled to any draft picks should he sign elsewhere after being offered arb? I can’t see him forecasted as anything more than a type B free agent? In light of Montero’s contract, I have to wonder what type of market there will be for Martin. If it’s going to cost upwards of $30mm-$40mm to retain him for 2-3 years, I actually say pass, and hold on to that for Granderson, Cano and other needs.

    • JonS

      There are no longer Type A/B FAs. Check out this link for the full rundown on how that all works now.

    • Alkaline

      Hmm. I’m not sold on the team going with a Stewie/Cervelli tandem. If they don’t get Martin, what other options are there? Both are good as backups, but sharing starting duties? I don’t know about that. The yanks could survive Martin batting .220 (where I imagine he’ll be by the end of the year…I hope!) as long as the rest of the crew is performing pretty well.

      • Havok9120

        If he hits .220, combined with his other stats, he’d end up at least average offensively for that position. At least.

        People are getting really silly on this topic.

        • LiterallyFigurative

          But do the average catchers get 8 and 9 mil per year to be average? Yadier and Miguel Montero are top offensive catchers and get 12 mil per, so why pay 9 mil per for average offense?

          • Havok9120

            It was more of a general observation than anything. But….

            The question of “is Martin’s offense, defense, and staff handling worth 7-10 million/year” isn’t one that can be answered in isolation. Who are we replacing him with? Because, at the moment, the market for catchers who have above average offensive potential, stellar defense, and a great ability to handle the staff is pretty barren. And by barren, I mean his name is Russel Martin. If the alternative is a Stewart/Cervelli tandem and then praying that Romine turns out usable by 2014, then Martin for 3 years at ~8 mil per is, in my opinion, a better deal.

            He’d be the least priority in terms of allocating money toward retaining/replacing guys, but there’s no one else available that I know of who can do what he can, let alone who has an offensive ceiling like he does.

          • Ted Nelson

            His offense is average, but that’s only 1/2 the game.

    • Manny’s BanWagon

      Maybe give Martin a 1 year deal to buy the Yankees more time and allow Martin to try and rebuild his value but the way he’s looked, I don’t see how you can sign him long term.

    • LarryM.,Fl.

      Could Martin be hitting in a bit of bad luck after the initial slow start. Martin does receive well and he has a very good throw out % stealing. IMHO Martin is a much better hitter with power and contact. Stewart offers nothing at the plate offensively behind the plate is a different story. They have a large decision to make. offensive production from a catcher is so big. Jorge offered much more in production than he lost defensively. Martin can be more neutral in defense and offense. But not worth 7-9 million a year.

    • DM

      I think his poor year, Romine’s back, Cervelli’s unimpressive stint at AAA, all improve Martin’s chances of returning. He won’t command the dollars now unless he has a torrid finish to 2012. I think they’ll sign him for the same reason they signed him after his last year with LA. I could see him accepting a team friendly 2 year deal to stay.

      • Kevin Winters

        2 more yrs of his production smh

        • Havok9120

          I know but….who’s the alternative?

  • Ethan

    I voted a 7. Team has certainly shown some signs of life but still can’t hit with RISP. Hard to continue to win many ballgames when you can’t get runners in from 2nd and 3rd.

  • TomH

    I’m normally 4-5, but lately 4 and remain so: age, austerity plans (and other matters related to the business of baseball), lack of top position players in the high minors. I’m happy they did so well in the past two series, but I’ll reserve judgment until after LAA and los Tigres on whether I ought to be more optimistic about the season itself. I still don’t see this as a team that gets past the first playoff round–and maybe doesn’t get even that far.

    Kuroda was great, but it is the A’s after all.

    • Now Batting

      You have below average confidence for a team you see making the playoffs? Would you give every other team besides the Rangers a 1?

      • Havok9120

        Half his point is that he doesn’t really see us making the playoff this year, or at least he isn’t sure. I think that’s nuts considering the rest of the league, but whatever.

        The other half deals with the future of the team, and there he has much more of a leg to stand on in my opinion. I still think that that is about the worst-case view and so a rather odd one to take, but, again, whatever.

        • TomH

          This reading is basically correct about the form of my #4. The poll itself invites (as in “asks for”) a two-part judgment: of how they may do this year and about the organization and team beyond this year. It’s entirely possible to be confident about the one and doubtful about the other. My view is that the team’s long-term prospects are not good, for reasons I stated in my note.

          On whether it’s “nuts” to imagine the Yankees not making the playoffs: is it so “nuts” to imagine that, say, Tampa Bay, Texas, and Detroit win their divisions and that the WC teams might include Baltimore and someone other than the Yankees? This isn’t a loyalty poll. Kicking ass against Oakland and KC proves nothing about whether the Yankees are getting themselves back on track. The team we were getting used to seeing in May could easily fail to make the playoffs.

          In doing this poll, I have zero interest in other teams and their short-term and long-term prospects. I don’t see it as a comparison poll in any way.

          • Havok9120

            It is a comparison poll in the first part, especially if one of your benchmarks is the playoffs. Other teams have to beat us out. And while its certainly feasible, its hardly likely. Literally everything has to break wrong for us to not at least get a WC slot. You’re talking Boston, Detroit, AND LA righting the ship, Baltimore being for real, and us stinking it up all at the same time. It’d be a perfect storm. Yeah, its possible, but the odds are stacked highly against it being the case.

      • RI$P FTW

        According to RAB, once you get to the playoffs it’s all luck.
        Why would anyone have confidence in their team in that situation?

        • TomH

          Do you really believe that? The Yankees got kicked out of several playoffs for entirely understandable reasons, reasons that had sometimes even been predicatable during the course of the season. Anyone who thinks last year’s team ran into bad luck is hallucinating.

          This statistical small-sample-syndrome is for people whose greatest experience in life was STATS 101. Serious baseball fans don’t too much attention to it.

          • hogsmog

            I mean, to say that looking at stats is comparable to saying “it’s all luck” is sort of selling statistics short. Of course it isn’t “all luck”, and (believe it or not) even statisticians know that going into the postseason with 1.5 starting pitchers isn’t going to cut it.

            However, variance does play a bigger role in a three or four game series than 162, it’s just common sense. Your star can slump, your pitcher can have a bad outing. The Yankees this past week played like a completely different team than the week before. Regardless of how much you respect statistics, I think it would be foolish to say that the playoffs always go to the team with the best skills, and never sometimes the team with the best bounces.

  • Bavarian Yankee

    Still an 8.

    We didn’t really play that well in the first 2 months and we’re only 2.5 GB? Hell, the Orioles are in first place, that’s how weak the AL East actually is this year! If we perform up to our talents – and I have no doubt that we’ll do just that in the very near future – then I can’t see anybody but the Yanks win the AL East.

  • OMG! Bagels!

    Most years I’m somewhere between a 5-8 and am firmly at 6 right now. The continuation of RISPFAIL is annoying. We need a healthy Gardner and a healthy Robertson and then I’ll go up to a 7. If Nova and Hughes pitch consistently well I’ll be at an 8.

  • Charles

    Back up to an 8 from a 7 after the 5 game win streak, the offense is finally putting it together and we’re winning series, if we can take 2/3 from LAA I can see us being in 1st by the draft next week.