Mark Teixeira and his strained left calf will head to Tampa on Monday to begin what amounts to a minor league rehab assignment in Instructional League. Instructs are very informal, so he’ll be able to get like ten at-bats a day in game situations. Teixeira still feels some soreness in the calf but he will start swinging in the batting cage today. Earlier this week Brian Cashman said the team hopes to get their first baseman back when the Yankees head to Toronto at the end of next week, which seems to jive with this Instructs timetable.
Homegrown starters picking up the slack in September
Earlier this season when the Yankees went on the big midseason run that gave them that once-comfortable ten-game lead in the AL East, they were winning consistently because of their pitching. Every night their starter was pitching not just well, but also going deep into the game. From May 22nd through July 18th, when they went on that 36-13 run, the rotation pitched to a 3.19 ERA (3.55 FIP) while averaging 6.5 innings per start. The starters were dynamite, day after day.
That hasn’t been the case of late. Andy Pettitte got hurt, CC Sabathia got hurt (twice), Ivan Nova cratered before getting hurt, and the Yankees lost their big division lead. From July 19th — the start of the four game series in Oakland — through today, the rotation has pitched to a 4.22 ERA (4.15 FIP) with an average of 6.25 innings per start. I don’t think it was reasonable to expect to the starting staff to continue pitching that well all season, but the drop-off has been quite drastic.
The Yankees have won six of their last seven games and nine of 13 overall, though the rotation as a whole hasn’t stood out during that stretch. They’ve pitch to a 4.06 ERA (3.81 FIP) during those 13 games, which is fine but not great. Better than they had been, I guess is the best way to put it. Maybe serviceable, I don’t know. The offense has scored just enough runs and the bullpen has protected just enough leads to turn those performances into wins, and frankly that’s all that matters at this point. Every win is important, no matter how ugly it is.
Anyway, what does stand out during that 13-game stretch is the performance of the club’s three non-Pettitte homegrown starters, meaning Phil Hughes, David Phelps, and Ivan Nova. They’ve started six of those 13 games and have pitched to a combined 2.70 ERA (3.40 FIP) in 36.2 innings, with the Yankees winning five of the six games. The one loss was when Phelps got rocked in Baltimore, a game the offense actually battled back to tie before the bullpen blew it in the late innings. That one stung.
The club’s veteran starters (Sabathia, Pettitte, Hiroki Kuroda, Freddy Garcia) have pitched to a 5.35 ERA (4.20 FIP) in 38.2 innings in their seven starts during this 13-game stretch. It’s not all on Freddy either, he only made one of those seven starts (three runs in 3.1 innings). Pettitte was superb yesterday, but Kuroda and Sabathia allowed at least four earned runs in four of their five total starts. The vets have combined to throw just two more innings than the kids in one more start, so they haven’t been as effective nor gone as deep into the game.
The Yankees catch a lot of grief for their inability to develop starting pitching and deservedly so, but the team’s three young homegrown starters have picked up the pitching slack in a big way these last two weeks. The veteran guys did most of the heavy lifting earlier in the season and now Hughes, Nova, and Phelps are carrying the torch. That’s usually how these things go, not everyone clicks at once, but not many times in the last few seasons have the young pitchers carried New York. Hughes has allowed more than two earned runs just once in his last six outings, and tonight he’ll look to continue this recent stretch of strong performances from the homegrown arms against the Blue Jays in the series finale.
Aardsma, not Feliciano, could still join Yankees this year
Via Joel Sherman, there is still a chance that David Aardsma could join the Yankees before the end of the regular season. He had been pitching in minor league rehab games until the season ended last week, even pitching in a set of back-to-back days. That’s usually one of the final steps before being activated. Aardsma wasn’t pitching all that well following his late-June setback, but his 30-day rehab window expires next weekend. The decision is coming one way or another.
In other news, left-hander Pedro Feliciano is unlikely to join the bullpen before the end of the season. He had been pitching in minor league rehab games as well, including doing the whole back-to-back thing, but he sprained his ankle covering first base in his last outing a little more than two weeks ago. The Yankees used that to reset his rehab clock and we’re unlikely to see him throw a single pitch in pinstripes after signing a two-year, $8M deal last winter.
Taking a look at Super Nova
I know it has been a little while since he pitched, but I wanted to take a look at Ivan Nova’s last outing. It was one of his most impressive performances of the season despite it being his first start back from injury. In total, Nova went six innings, giving up just two runs on four hits (only two of which went for extra bases) and two walks, with eight strikeouts.
Honestly, my expectations were pretty low for Nova in this start. He has been hit hard all year, giving up a ridiculous quantity of extra-base hits en route to a 4.81 ERA (including his most recent outing). While his strikeout rate is at a career high and his walk rate has been pretty low, one would expect him to be having a career year. Instead, Nova has been one of the weak points in the Yankee rotation, and I figured that missing time with a shoulder injury would likely cost him his rotation spot. However, Nova proved the doubters wrong with a strong outing. I was curious to see what was working for him.
Looking at Nova’s outing on Brooks Baseball, the first thing that comes to mind is his fastball. His average velocity on the pitch jumped a good 0.6 MPH, going from 93.46 to 94.07. Just to put that number in context, an average fastball of 94.07 MPH would place Nova 7th among qualified starters in average fastball velocity (behind usual suspects Stephen Strasburg, David Price, Jeff Samardzija, Matt Moore, Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander). With the increased velocity also came better movement, as both the vertical (by about two inches) and horizontal movement by about 2/3 of an inch) on the heater were increased. The extra life on the pitch corresponded to a four-fold increase in whiff rate, 16% in his last outing compared to just over 4% for the rest of the season. This is a massive difference, even though the change in velocity and movement seems to be relatively small. For what it’s worth, Texas Leaguers shows more dramatic differences in velocity and movement.
While the improved fastball is the main thing that jumps out at me, there are some noticeable differences in Nova’s curveball as well. The velocity of the pitched jumped about 2-3 MPH over his season average, though the vertical and horizontal break actually decreased. This could mean that he was throwing a tighter, sharper pitch, and consequently, opposing hitters whiffed at it about twice as often as they did earlier in the season.
The fastball and curve were Nova’s bread and butter in his most recent outing, as they have been throughout the season. He threw them about 83-percent of the time earlier in the season, and threw them nearly 90-percent of the time his last time out. I have no idea if Nova made a mechanical change during is time on the DL — it appears he did — or if the extra rest has simply given his raw stuff a little boost. Regardless, the extra hop on Nova’s fastball and tighter curveball seemed to be very effective in the small sample size of one outing. At this point in the season, Nova is auditioning just to earn a spot on the postseason roster. Unless he is absolutely lights out and another Yankee starter suffers an injury or setback, it is hard to picture Nova earning a spot in the playoff rotation. Regardless, if he continues to show his improved fastball velocity and more effective curveball, the Yankees could have a tough decision on their hands.
Thoughts following the doubleheader sweep
After going nearly a month without consecutive wins, the Yankees won two games in the span of about nine hours yesterday. They’ve also won four straight, six of seven, and nine of 13. If the Mariners had been something other than pitiful these last two nights, the division lead would be two or three games instead of just one. But hey, I’ll take the one-game lead. Better than being one back.
1. I don’t want to make too much of one game (one day, really), but man it would be such a huge lift if Ichiro Suzuki got hot and became a more consistent offensive threat these next few weeks. No one is asking him to go 4-for-4 with four steals every game — he’s more than welcome to do that, if he wants — but something more than the three or four hits a week he was providing would be nice. Prior to yesterday Ichiro had only been 6-for-9 in stolen base attempts with New York, so adding some more speed to the offense would be appreciated as well. He was awesome on Wednesday and I hope he builds on it going forward.
2. Ichiro started against the left-handed Ricky Romero last night because it appears that Joe Girardi has finally run out of patience with Andruw Jones. He’s been dreadful in the second half (.137/.250/.225 in 120 plate appearances), and that sure looked like his last pinch-hitting hurrah in Game One. When Girardi needed a right-hander off the bench with the go-ahead run on third and the left-handed Aaron Loup on the mound in Game Two, he went to Steve Pearce. If he’s not hitting, especially against lefties, there won’t be any reason to carry Andruw on the postseason roster should the Yankees qualify.
3. Speaking of not making the potential postseason roster, what about Raul Ibanez? He’s only been slightly less useless than Jones since the All-Star break, putting up a .190/.287/.356 line in 143 plate appearances. Remember when Hideki Matsui fell into a slump and every single at-bat was a weak ground ball to second? That’s Ibanez now, everything is weakly hit to the right side. He could just be worn down from playing the field so much earlier in the year or he could just be completely done, but at some point soon the Yankees will have to pull the plug on the other half of their preseason DH platoon. There isn’t much season left and neither guy is getting it done.
4. It goes without saying that the biggest positive development from yesterday was Andy Pettitte. He wasn’t sharp, but he still managed to throw five shutout innings against a bad offense after spending the last twelve weeks or so recovering from a leg fracture. Pettitte will need every bit of his final two regular season starts to a) build his pitch count back up over 100, and b) shake the rust off, but it was definitely encouraging to see him come out and pitch well in his first start off the DL. With all due respect to David Phelps, who pitched well in the spot start last night as well as last time out against the Red Sox, getting Andy back in the rotation is huge. Tack on Ivan Nova replacing Freddy Garcia, and suddenly the starting staff looks a lot more formidable.
5. Thanks to Rafael Soriano’s two-save effort yesterday, the Yankees are up to 50 total saves as a team this year. Soriano has 42, Mariano Rivera had five before he got hurt, and the trio of David Robertson, Boone Logan, and Derek Lowe have one each. It’s only the second time since 2005 that the Yankees have had more than 50 team saves in a single season, joining the 2009 squad (51). Obviously that means they’ll go on to win the World Series this year. Okay … in all seriousness, it’s a function of all the close games they’ve been playing. One hundred and fifteen of their 148 games have been decided by fewer than five runs, a whopping 77.7%. Last year it was 71%, the year before 68%, and the year before that 69%. Soriano has saved each of the team’s last six wins and ten of their last 12. He’s been absolutely huge for the Yankees this year, and yesterday’s performance was probably the highlight of his season to date.
Ichiro turns back the clock as Yankees sweep doubleheader from Blue Jays
Despite all the RISPFAIL, this was an awesome win. The Yankees topped the Blue Jays by the score of 2-1 on Wednesday night, a few hours after beating them in the first game of the doubleheader. Hard to top two wins in one day … or six wins in seven games for that matter.
The Ichiro! Show
As painful as it can be to sit through a fading star’s decline years, there’s nothing quite as fun as watching them turn back the clock for a day. Ichiro Suzuki carried the Yankees all day on Wednesday, going 3-for-4 in the afternoon game and 4-for-4 with four steals (!) in the nightcap. His seventh and final hit of the day plated the game-winning run in the bottom of the eighth, a little bloop single to the opposite field to score Curtis Granderson from third. Nothing fancy, which is pretty much the story of Suzuki’s career.
Perhaps the most impressive part of the four-hit game is that all four hits came off left-handers — the first three off Ricky Romero and the fourth against Aaron Loup. The Yankees acquired Ichiro to essentially be a platoon left fielder, but Andruw Jones has been so brutally ineffective in the second half that Suzuki will be pressed into full-time duty going forward. This effort certainly gave everyone some confidence in his ability to contribute against pitchers of either hand. Oh, and Ichiro became the first Yankee to steal four bases in one game since … you’re not going to believe this … Tony Womack back in May 2005. He actually did it twice in the span of four days. Crazy.
Big Phelp
The Yankees needed some length out of David Phelps after running through their core relievers in the afternoon game, and he responded with 6.2 innings of one-run ball on a career-high 110 pitches. He surrendered just three singles and three walks while striking out six, and ended his outing by retiring 13 of the final 16 men he faced. Boone Logan had to bail him out of a bases loaded, two outs situation in the seventh, but otherwise Phelps cut right through a lineup that featured zero players with an OBP north of .325.
I thought the key for David was his curveball, which helped him escape a 35-pitch second inning after allowing just one run. He leaned on the pitch heavily the second and third through the order, throwing it 27 times for 19 strikes. Seven of those 19 were swings and misses, another seven called strikes. That’s pretty awesome, the pitch was definitely working for him. With a Game Score of 67, this was the best start of Phelps’ young big league career (not that Game Score is any kind of definitive stat, just convenient). It’ll get overshadowed because of Ichiro!, but he was dynamite.
Double #Untuck
You really have to give it up to Rafael Soriano. Dude nailed down a four-out save in the afternoon then came back for more in the nightcap, tossing a perfect 1-2-3 ninth inning for his second save in six hours or so. I actually thought his stuff looked nastier in the second game than in the first, so maybe that was an adrenaline thing. Either way, majors props to Soriano, who’s been a godsend for the Yankees in the wake of Mariano Rivera’s injury. He racked up saves #41 and #42 on Wednesday.
I don’t want to leave anyone out, so Logan deserves similar praise for appearing in both games. He retired the only man he faced in Game One before chipping in a scoreless inning in Game Two, including a big ground ball out to escape that bases loaded jam in the seventh. That was the biggest out of the game I think, rather easily too. Cody Eppley got the win by striking out the only man he faced, so hooray for that. Great job by the bullpen to take care of business in two close games.
Leftovers
The Yankees scored their first and only other run of the game in the second, when Chris Stewart doubled in Casey McGehee (remember him?) with a two-out line drive down the line. That was a big and frankly unexpected hit. Stewart also threw out Rajai Davis trying to steal in the third and it wasn’t even close, he had him gunned down by a few feet. Add in two walks and you’ve got a damn productive day from the backup catcher.
I feel like it’s worth mentioning that all three runs in the game scored after the runner reached base on a walk. Romero walked four of the first eleven men he faced and five in six innings overall, but the Yankees didn’t capitalize enough. It was an annoying repeat of the Jon Lester game from a week ago, when he walked everyone but never paid for it. Three-for-14 with runners in scoring position — including multiple fails by Derek Jeter, Curtis Granderson, and Alex Rodriguez — is how you put 16 men on-base in eight offensive innings (and steal seven bases as a team!) and only score two runs.
Jeter singled on Romero’s first pitch of the game, his 200th hit of the season. He tied Lou Gehrig for the most 200-hit seasons in franchise history with eight, and he’s eight hits away from tying Pete Rose for the most hits by a 38-year-old player in baseball history. Wowza. The Cap’n also has a 13-game hit streak.
Box Score, WPA Graph & Standings
As always, MLB.com has the box score and video highlights while ESPN has the updated standings. The Rays pounded the Red Sox, so they remain seven back in the loss column in the division race. The Orioles are out in Seattle facing Felix Hernandez and the Mariners, so if they win they’ll and their win means they remain one back in the loss column. The magic number is down to 14 and could drop to 13 if Baltimore losses.
Source: FanGraphs
Up Next
These two teams will wrap up this series with just one game on Thursday. Phil Hughes will get the ball against former Yankee Aaron Laffey in the nightcap. Check out RAB Tickets if you want to catch that one live.
Game 148: Let’s Play Two
The Yankees took care of business this afternoon and won the first game of today’s doubleheader behind the returning Andy Pettitte, and now they’ll try to win Game Two behind shortstop Derek Jeter. The Cap’n will be playing the field for the first time in exactly a week, since he came down hard on his left ankle running out a ground ball and aggravated the bone bruise he’s been nursing for a few weeks. Here’s the starting nine…
SS Derek Jeter
RF Nick Swisher
DH Robinson Cano
3B Alex Rodriguez
CF Curtis Granderson
2B Jayson Nix
1B Casey McGehee
LF Ichiro Suzuki
C Chris Stewart
RHP David Phelps
Game Two of today’s doubleheader is scheduled to start a little after 7pm ET and can be seen on My9. Enjoy.