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River Ave. Blues » R.A. Dickey

Don’t laugh, but the Yankees should give these four pitchers a look

February 12, 2018 by Steven Tydings Leave a Comment

I’ll bet this was a knuckleball (Mike Zarrilli/Getty Images)

With this year’s offseason moving slowly, the flood of veteran non-roster invitees or low-level signings hasn’t happened yet. Therefore, there’s plenty of reclamation projects or mid-tier players still on the market.

And that’s mostly what the Yankees are looking for at this point. Perhaps there’s a $10 million second baseman or starting pitcher that they’ll add in the coming weeks. I’d bet though that the Yankees are more looking on the fringes of the roster. Those high-risk, high-reward types either coming off an injury or bad season that may have a bounce back, or just a dead-cat bounce.

So here’s four pitchers worth a look. I wouldn’t toss the rest of the Yankees’ money under the luxury tax at these guys, but they could be worth a look in Spring Training, or a month in Scranton if they’re willing to go back to the minors. Some of them could even be worth MLB deals.

R.A. Dickey

The knuckler! If you’re looking for a player that will rebound and then give your team a few years of value, I wouldn’t be looking at Dickey. At 43, there’s a limit on how much longer he’s going to keep pitching. Heck, even though he reportedly has offers on the table right now, he still may retire right now.

After a series of middling years in Toronto, he went to Atlanta and was essentially average. Almost exactly. His 4.26 ERA was good for a 99 ERA-. His ERA- the last five years go as follows: 104, 96, 96, 105, 99. Average as can be. He’s nowhere close to his 2012 Cy Young numbers when he struck out nearly a batter per nine, held his walks in check and wasn’t half bad limiting homers. You’re not seeing 2012 Dickey (when, fun fact, he became the most recent Mets pitcher to lead the NL in strikeouts).

But there is one thing you’re essentially guaranteed with the middling performance: Innings. He’s thrown at least 169.2 innings each of the last eight seasons and 190 or more in six of those. He made 31 starts a year ago and there were some real gems in there. As always with Dickey, there are some clunkers as well with the knuckleball not twirling quite as well.

If the Yankees want a sixth starter, he’s a perfectly fine pitcher. Toss $6-7 million his way and you can basically count on somewhere between one and 2.5 WAR.

Clay Buchholz

Yes, him! That Clay Buchholz. The last time he was on a mound was in April, when he suffered a torn flexor muscle in his right arm after 7.1 bad innings with the Phillies. His 12.27 ERA was indeed representative of how he looked over two starts.

The bet on this former Boston All-Star would be that he would return to his 2016 and earlier form. Now, if you look at his overall 2016 numbers, they’re not great. But his second half was a sign there was something left, actually earning him a meh playoff start.

Finding his way in middle relief before returning to the rotation, Buchholz adjusted his pitch mix, going up and in on hitters more often and lessening his reliance on his sinker. It worked for a few months, but one would have to think going back to his sinker would be necessary if he made Yankee Stadium his home.

Buchholz has always been injury prone, not topping 190 innings and not even reaching 170 since 2014. He hasn’t posted strong full season numbers since 2015 and that was over 113 innings. However, even though he made his MLB debut in 2007, he’s only 33 and could still have another strong half or two in him.

Zach Putnam

The previous two names have been more familiar due to their time in the AL East. Putnam is a relative nobody in comparison.

And I’ll give you the red flags up front. He is a 30-year-old pure reliever who barely tops 90 mph with his fastball and just underwent Tommy John surgery. He’s out until midseason at the earliest.

But here’s why he could be the perfect buy-low candidate: his splitter. Before he joined the Chicago White Sox in 2014, he wasn’t much to notice. But then he began using his splitter between 55 and 70 percent of the time, even more than his four-seamer and cutter. He knew what was working for him and he went with it.

His control is below-average and he’ll live and die with the splitter. But he should be available for a MiLB deal and is a solid low-risk addition for bullpen depth.

Ubaldo Jimenez Chris Tillman

This basically sums up 2017 for Chris Tillman (Rob Carr/Getty)

I’ll admit it: I looked into Ubaldo. After all, he was worth 2.7 fWAR just two seasons ago and had a fine K-BB% last year. But I just couldn’t throw out two seasons of downright bad performance, even if you believe he isn’t the walking home run machine he was last year. Fewer walks and more flyballs make Ubaldo a pitcher to stay away from.

But I’m slightly intrigued by Tillman, his rotation mate the last few years. For pitchers to throw at least 90 innings last year, Tillman (7.84 ERA) was the only pitcher worse than Jimenez in all of baseball. It’s amazing the O’s won 75 games with those two taking up more than a full spot in the rotation.

As Mike said in November, Tillman is only worth it if you believe he’ll be back to form further removed from shoulder surgery. At that time, it was questionable whether Tillman would settle for a MiLB deal, but that seems inevitable at this point.

And if you can get him on a spring invite, why not? This is a pitcher who found ways to limit home runs and outperform his peripherals even while pitching at Camden Yards. Who says he can do that at Yankee Stadium? He’s made his living in the AL East. I doubt he’d want to rebuild his value at the #littleasspark in the Bronx and with the Yankees’ limited room for another starter, but from the Yankees’ side, he’s worth a tryout.

Filed Under: Pitching Tagged With: Chris Tillman, Clay Buccholz, R.A. Dickey, Zach Putnam

Thoughts on a random Wednesday

December 19, 2012 by Mike 162 Comments

(Kevin C. Cox/Getty)

Baseball news is going to start to slow down in a day or two because of the holidays, and it won’t be until after the new year that things pick back up. Sure, there will be a move or three between Christmas and New Year’s, but GMs and agents and players tend to take it easy that week. Can’t really blame them, it’s a 24/7/365 profession and everyone needs a break at some point.

1. Now that R.A. Dickey has officially been traded to the Blue Jays, I sorta hate that I’m going to have to root against him. He was a blast to watch on the other side of town this season, and I don’t think he’ll have a ton of trouble switching leagues. Yes, the parks aren’t as friendly in the AL East, but he’ll still be well-above-average if not ace-caliber. Someone (I believe Bill Petti) has done recent research showing that the knuckleball removes some of the hitter’s skill from the equation in the pitcher-batter matchup, which would obviously serve Dickey well in the tougher league. The one real criticism I have of the Rays over the last few seasons is their unwillingness to make the big move to go for it, but we certainly can’t accuse the Blue Jays of that. The see an opening in the division and are going for it like hell.

2. So what changed about the Yankees’ evaluation of Russell Martin over the last 12 months? They offered him that three-year, $20M-something extension last offseason after the new Collective Bargaining Agreement (and incentives to get under the luxury tax) were in place, yet they wouldn’t go near the two-year, $17M deal he took from the Pirates a few weeks ago. Do they think his offense will continue to decline? That he’s not a safe bet to stay healthy the next two years given his big career workload? Is his defense not as good as advertised? The Yankees have passed on a ton of free agents over the years and for the most part you can understand why. With Martin, given the dearth of quality catching, it just makes no sense to pass on that price even with the 2014 payroll plan looming, especially since they were so willing to give Ichiro Suzuki two years. So weird.

Late Add: Forgot to include this in the original post, but isn’t Martin + Chris Dickerson > Chris Stewart/Austin Romine/Frankie Cervelli + Ichiro + $4M? Doesn’t that seem obvious?

(Chris Trotman/Getty Images)

3. This is worthy of a larger post later in the offseason, but is there a more important Yankees position player right now than Mark Teixeira? Given the offensive hits the team will take in right field and behind the plate (Derek Jeter is unlikely to hit .316/.362/.429 again as well), the Yankees badly need to Tex to halt his decline and get back to his 30+ homers, 125+ wRC+ ways. I’m not asking him to hit like he did from 2005-2009 (141 wRC+), but he needs to do better than a .332 OBP. Hopefully good health — remember, he had the cough and wrist issues in addition to the calf problem this past year — will help Teixeira improve his offense next season. The Yankees need him to be a middle of the lineup force again. It’s imperative.

4. Here’s the list of unsigned free agents; anyone in particular you want to see the Yankees sign before Spring Training? The big names are Michael Bourn and Scott Hairston and Shaun Marcum and A.J. Pierzynski and blah blah blah. I’m talking about someone off the beaten path, like infielder Ronny Cedeno (110 wRC+ vs. LHP in 2012) for the bench or right-hander Matt Lindstrom (2.85 ERA and 3.24 ERA from 2011-2012) for the bullpen. I’d love to see right-hander Tim Stauffer (3.15 ERA and 3.72 FIP from 2010-2011 before elbow surgery in 2012) on a minor league deal to stash in Triple-A for rotation depth. Any irrational favorites?

Filed Under: Musings Tagged With: Mark Teixeira, R.A. Dickey, Russell Martin

Winter Meetings Day Four Open Thread

December 6, 2012 by Mike 73 Comments

(Scott Cunningham/Getty)

The Winter Meetings officially come to a close today, and the rumor mill should start to dry up around noon (probably sooner) after the clubs flee the Gaylord Opryland. The two biggest free agents (Zack Greinke & Josh Hamilton) are still on the board and the Yankees haven’t done a thing other than announce Alex Rodriguez’s new hip injury. Somehow they’re actually going to leave this week with more questions than when it started.

The Rule 5 Draft starts at 10am ET and I’ll have a liveblog up for that, but otherwise this is your thread for various Yankees-related rumblings throughout the day. Here are Monday’s, Tuesday’s, and Wednesday’s rumors. All times are ET.

  • 3:49pm: The Yankees have not contacted the Padres about Chase Headley, which is a little surprising. Even though San Diego says he’s off-limits, you’d think they’d at least ask to hear it from the horse’s mouth. [Chad Jennings]
  • 12:06pm: The Yankees spoke to the Mets about R.A. Dickey this week, but apparently they didn’t have the right pieces to swing a trade. I can’t imagine the PR hit the Mets would have taken had they dealt the reigning Cy Young Award winner to the Bronx. [Andy Martino]
  • 10:53am: The Yankees did not inquire on Michael Young because they don’t believe he can handle third base full-time. Can’t say I disagree. [Joel Sherman]
  • 10:49am: Cashman met with reporters during the Rule 5 Draft and said he’s been engaged in trades more than free agents so far. [Chad Jennings]
  • 8:40am: Curtis Granderson is one of five players the Phillies are targeting for their center field opening. It’s unclear if (or how much) the two sides have talked and what Philadelphia could give up in return. [Danny Knobler]
  • 8:00am: Agents who have spoken to the Yankees get the impression that a clamp has been placed on the team’s spending. Brian Cashman is supposedly frustrated by his inability to act and is working with ownership to see what he can spend. This is ridiculous. [Joel Sherman]
  • Veteran infielder Alex Gonzalez is in the team’s mix of third base candidates. The 35-year-old has some pop, but he’s a sub-.300 OBP candidate. Gonzalez is coming off surgery to repair a torn ACL and was considered a strong defender at short, though he’s never played a big league game at another position (even DH). The Yankees need to see him work out following surgery before discussing a contract. [George King]
  • The Yankees are open to discussing Phil Hughes and Ivan Nova in trades. This isn’t that surprising, they’ve always been a team that will listen on pretty much every player. [Andrew Marchand]

Filed Under: Hot Stove League Tagged With: 2012 Winter Meetings, Alex Gonzalez, Chase Headley, Curtis Granderson, Ivan Nova, New York Mets, Phil Hughes, Philadelphia Phillies, R.A. Dickey, San Diego Padres

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