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Mailbag: Murphy, Brewers, Betances, Thames

June 28, 2013 by Mike 37 Comments

Another six questions this week, so I tried to keep the answers relatively short. If you want to send us anything throughout the week, use the Submit A Tip box in the sidebar.

(Trenton Thunder)
(Trenton Thunder)

Andrew asks: How long do you think J.R. Murphy has to continue tearing the cover off the ball before he gets a shot? He can’t be worse than Austin Romine or Chris Stewart. Seriously, I think it’s statistically impossible.

Oh, it’s possible. David Adams tore the cover off the ball in Triple-A but has been worse than Jayson Nix. Thomas Neal was worse than Vernon Wells after his big Triple-A performance. The “he can’t be worse” idea is a terrible reason to make a move. They can almost always be worse.

With that said, I don’t think the Yankees should replace Murphy with Romine, not right now. The kid just got to Triple-A and is having his first real standout season since turning pro, and I wouldn’t risk screwing that up for the sake of upgrading the backup catcher spot. Not when Ramon Hernandez and Kelly Shoppach are freely available. Joe Girardi’s not going to not play Chris Stewart, so I don’t see the point of calling him up to play twice a week. Let Murphy work on his catching and continue to rake in Triple-A. Rushing a prospect to plug a big league hole would only compound the problem.

Mitchell asks: MLBTR says Aramis Ramirez and maybe Jonathan Lucroy are available. Does one or both make sense for the Yanks? And what would it take, do you think, to get him/them?

Matt wrote about Ramirez the other day, so all I’m going to add to that is that I don’t like the idea of adding another aging veteran on the wrote side of 35 who is under contract through 2014. The Yankees have met their quota already. Ramirez would certainly help the team right now, but he’s battling continued knee problems while his strikeouts are up and his power is down. Classic signs of decline in a slugger, otherwise known as “The Kevin Youkilis.” Not a fan.

Lucroy, on the other hand, would be great for the Yankees. The 27-year-old has hit .274/.321/.443 (108 wRC+) this year and .285/.333/.443 (111 wRC+) since becoming the full-time catcher in 2011, plus he’s signed affordably ($9M through 2016 with a $5.25M club option for 2017). Lucroy isn’t all that good at throwing out attempted base-stealers but he grades out okay in the other defensive aspects of catching. Given his age and contract, I imagine it’ll take quite a haul to get him. At least two very good prospects, probably two plus a third piece.

Paul asks: Joe Girardi has stacked lefties recently. The criticism is that late in games you are likely to have the platoon disadvantage as the opposing manager will deploy a lefty reliever. My question is this: isn’t that a little negated by having the platoon advantage for the first 5-7 innings? What about neutralizing their righty relievers, or, better yet having them use a righty closer against your lefties?

Stacking the lefties isn’t ideal because of those late game matchups, but given the current Yankees roster, I’m perfectly fine with it. They don’t have many good hitters as it is, so the ones they do have need to bunched together if they want to generate any kind of rally. Breaking up Brett Gardner and Robinson Cano with Nix defeats the purpose, really. Those mid-to-late-inning lefty specialists are problematic, but stacking the left-handers is a net positive for New York right now given their personnel.

(Al Bello/Getty)
(Al Bello/Getty)

Ted asks: Can you guys please clarify injuries and insurance? If the Yankees are getting money back from insurance for Mark Teixeira’s recent DL stint, then shouldn’t they also have boatloads of money if they have insurance policies on Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter (not to mention all the other injuries)? Thanks!

From what I understand, team don’t purchase insurance for everyone, nor do they fully insure the contract either. A lot of times teams will only get coverage for what is morbidly referred to as “total loss or death” because the premium are so damn high. For pitchers with huge contracts with CC Sabathia and Zack Greinke, the premiums could wind up costing more than the actual contract. In that case, they just pass. The Yankees are apparently getting 80% of Teixeira’s salary back for this injury, but I have no idea what the case is for the other injured guys. I assume there’s some protection in place, but who knows how much.

Brad asks: Next season, as everyone moves up a rung in the bullpen, do you think Dellin Betances gets a shot in the show?

It depends entirely on how well he pitches the rest of the season. If he continues this strong run, then yeah I think they would find room for him in the bullpen next year. Not as a setup man or anything like that, just as the last arm for blowout games or whatever. At least at first, he could always pitch his way into more responsibility.

If Betances starts pitching like he did as a starter, he’d be a candidate to get taken off the 40-man roster over the winter. There would be no value there. Joba Chamberlain, Boone Logan, and Mariano Rivera will all hit free agency after the season, so there figures to be some bullpen competition in Spring Training even if the Yankees sign a free agent reliever or two.

Steve asks: Any reason the Yanks wouldn’t go after Eric Thames?

Not really. I mean, he isn’t all that good. He’s a career .250/.296/.431 (97 wRC+) hitter in 684 career big league plate appearances with awful, awful defense, yet he continues to put up very good numbers at Triple-A (124 wRC+ before being designated for assignment last week). Thames hasn’t been resigned to Quad-A status yet, but he’s getting there.

That said, he’s 26 and a left-handed hitting outfielder with minor league options remaining. The Yankees also drafted Thames in the 39th round of the 2007 draft back in the day, so they liked him once upon a time. They have an open 40-man roster spot — Youkilis is prime 60-day DL bait as well — and an open outfield spot in Triple-A (for the time being), so it’s close to a no risk move. I don’t think it would be some great travesty if they passed, however.

Filed Under: Mailbag Tagged With: Aramis Ramirez, Dellin Betances, Eric Thames, J.R. Murphy, Jonathan Lucroy

Jagielo makes pro debut in GCL Yanks win

June 27, 2013 by Mike 25 Comments

According to C Wes Wilson, OF Taylor Dugas has been promoted from Low-A Charleston to High-A Tampa. He had a 108 wRC+ with more walks (32) than strikeouts (24) in 243 plate appearances for the River Dogs.

Triple-A Scranton‘s game was suspended due to rain in the middle of the fourth inning. They will complete the game tomorrow. Here’s the box score if you can’t wait that long.

Meanwhile, Double-A Trenton was rained out. They’re going to make the game up as part of a doubleheader late next month.

High-A Tampa Game One (6-1 loss to Daytona) makeup of yesterday’s rainout

  • SS Eduardo Nunez: 0-2 — first rehab game … had a little more on him earlier
  • CF Mason Williams: 1-3, 1 K
  • DH Peter O’Brien: 0-3, 2 K
  • C Gary Sanchez: 0-3, 1 K, 1 PB
  • LF Ben Gamel: 1-3, 1 K — left the game after grounding out in the sixth, so maybe he hurt something … not sure what’s up though
  • 2B Rob Refsnyder: 1-3, 2 K
  • LHP Dietrich Enns: 3 IP, 5 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 4 BB, 3 K, 2/4 GB/FB — easily his worst outing of the year, he allowed just six runs total all season coming into this game
  • RHP Branden Pinder: 0 IP, zeroes, 1 HB — he was ejected after hitting the only man he faced, Cubs top prospect Javier Baez … bot sure what that was about, but it was the only hit batsman of the game … maybe it has to do with something from earlier this year, or maybe the ump jumped the gun with the ejection

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Down on the Farm

Holland shuts out Yankees in series finale

June 27, 2013 by Mike 55 Comments

Series win over the Rangers? Winning homestand?? A run??? Nope, nope, and nope. The Yankees didn’t get any of that on Thursday afternoon, as Derek Holland and the rest of the Rangers cruised a stress-free 2-0 win.

(Jim McIsaac/Getty)
(Jim McIsaac/Getty)

Wasted Effort
The Yankees needed to see some improvement from Phil Hughes on Thursday after his recent dreadful performances, and improvement is exactly what they saw. Hughes held the Rangers to two runs on five hits, one walk, and one hit batsman in eight innings, and the first run required a blown check swing strike three call to get the runner on-base in the first place. Jurickson Profar hit the #obligatoryhomer, a solo shot in the fifth, after scoring the first run on an Ian Kinsler sac fly in the third. That’s all they got.

Hughes threw 72 of 106 pitches for strikes (68%), including a first pitch strike to 18 of 29 batters faced. That actually lowered his season first pitch strike rate, which was the very best in baseball at 70.8% coming into the start (min. 50 IP). Outside of the third inning rally and the homer, Phil allowed just one batter to reach second base and none to reach third base. He retired 11 of the final 12 men he faced, and the one exception was an infield single off a diving Alberto Gonzalez’s glove. The Yankees made no indication Hughes was pitching for his job on Thursday, but if he was, he certainly put that talk to bed for at least a little while. He was great, and it’s worth noting that he was working on extra rest.

(Jim McIsaac/Getty)
(Jim McIsaac/Getty)

Video Game
I don’t know how many of you play MLB 13: The Show, but you know how you can cruise through a start on like, 85 pitches? That was Holland on Thursday. The Texas left-hander held the Yankees to two singles and two walks in the complete-game shutout, throwing just 92 pitches. Ninety-two pitches! Holland had a five-pitch inning, a seven-pitch inning, and a nine-pitch inning, and only once did he throw more than 12 pitches in an inning — that was 16 in the fourth. New York had one runner reach second base — Jayson Nix stole second in the fourth — and 16 of their final 17 batters made outs. They were manhandled.

Obviously Holland has had a great year and he was fantastic on Thursday, but let’s not kid ourselves here. The Yankees trotted out a lineup that featured Nix, Vernon Wells, Lyle Overbay, David Adams, Gonzalez, and Austin Romine. That is terrible and a big reason why the team has hit just .238/.311/.345 (78 wRC+) against southpaws this season. This was their seventh shutout loss of the year, one more than all of 2012 even though we’ve yet to reach the halfway point. You could have given the Yankees four outs per inning on Thursday and Holland still would have thrown a shutout.

Something tells me we’re going to get a ton of mileage out of this GIF.

Leftovers
The wrap-around 9-1-2-3 portion of the lineup accounted for all the offense, going 2-for-12 with two walks. The other five spots failed to reach base in 15 attempts. Wells, who has been demoted to platoon outfield duty in the last week or so thanks to Zoilo Almonte, went 0-for-3 with three strikeouts. He saw 15 pitches and swung and missed five times, each time at a slider down and in. Send help, please.

Preston Claiborne threw the ninth in relief of Hughes and put two men on base (single and hit batsman), the 10th and 11th base-runners he’s allowed in his last 5.1 innings. Aside from Phil’s strong start, the only positive to take from this game is that the bullpen is well-rested for this weekend’s super-important series against the Orioles.

Remember when the Yankees won four of six last week? They’ve since lost three of four. They’ve also lost 18 of their last 30 games, getting outscored 128-94 in the process. They’re sitting on a -5 run differential for the season, which is mediocrity defined.

Box Score, WPA Graph & Standings
MLB.com has the box score and video highlights, FanGraphs some other stats, and ESPN the updated standings. The Red Sox beat the Blue Jays and the Orioles had a sizable lead before getting stuck in a rain delay. Assuming they hold on to win, the Yankees will be tied with them for second place in the AL East in the loss column, three back of Boston. Tampa, who was off on Thursday, is two back of New York while Toronto is three back.


Source: FanGraphs

Up Next
The Yankees are heading to Baltimore for an important three-game weekend series. The Orioles have yet to officially announce their starter for Friday night’s opener after designating former Yankee Freddy Garcia for assignment earlier this week, but it is expected to be right-hander Kevin Gausman. Either way, David Phelps will be on the bump for New York.

Filed Under: Game Stories

Nunez begins rehab assignment with High-A Tampa

June 27, 2013 by Mike 13 Comments

Eduardo Nunez started his official 20-day minor league rehab assignment with High-A Tampa this afternoon, going 0-for-2 at the plate and playing four innings in the field at shortstop. He grounded out in both at-bats and made two plays on ground balls in the field. Nunez has to be activated off the DL by July 17th, which is right smack in the middle in the All-Star break. Hopefully he won’t need that much time to get ready; the Yankees can use a fresh body in the lineup.

Filed Under: Asides, Injuries Tagged With: Eduardo Nunez

Olney: Yankees talking to Ian Stewart about minor league deal

June 27, 2013 by Mike 15 Comments

Via Buster Olney: The Yankees are talking to third baseman Ian Stewart about a minor league contract. He was released by the Cubs earlier this week after going on a Twitter rant and tearing into the front office for not calling him up. They suspended him without pay and then released him once the suspension was up.

Stewart, 28, was hitting .168/.286/.372 (68 wRC+) with five homers in 133 Triple-A plate appearances at the time of the suspension. He hit just .183/.272/.289 (44 wRC+) from 2011-2012 while battling numerous wrist and quad problems, and even his good years with the Rockies — .246/.334/.454 (96 wRC+) from 2008-2010 — weren’t all that great considering Coors Field. His left-handed power is nice though, and the Yankees do need help at the hot corner. It doesn’t take much to be better than David Adams. I am surprised they are pursuing him following the Twitter tirade given their emphasis on strong character and all that.

Filed Under: Asides, Hot Stove League Tagged With: Ian Stewart

Thursday Night Open Thread

June 27, 2013 by Mike 82 Comments

(Harlem Globetrotters via ESPN)
(Harlem Globetrotters via ESPN)

Every year for the last seven years, the Harlem Globetrotters conduct a “draft” to select honorary members to the team based on their work in the community, stuff like that. This year, the Globetrotters selected Mariano Rivera (and Brittney Griner). “We always have a place on our roster for winning athletes with that kind of mindset. His charitable work through the Mariano Rivera Foundation also embodies the spirit of the Globetrotters giving back to the community,” said the release. Mo can now play for the Globetrotters if he wants, and that would be a pretty cool post-baseball career if you ask me. Don’t see it happening though.

Anyway, here is your open thread for the night. The Mets are playing the Rockies (Hefner vs. Chatwood) and MLB Network will air a game as well. Who you see depends on where you live. Talk about any of that and more right here. You know what to do, so have at it.

Filed Under: Open Thread Tagged With: Mariano Rivera

Gary Sanchez traded for Pedro Ciriaco

June 27, 2013 by Mike 70 Comments

Via Jorge Arangure: Gary Sanchez has been traded for infielder Pedro Ciriaco … in the Dominican Winter League, where each player is contracted to play winter ball. The trade has no impact whatsoever on their big league affiliations — Sanchez remains with the Yankees and Ciriaco with the Padres. I just felt the need to freak some people out, sorry.

Filed Under: Asides, Whimsy Tagged With: Gary Sanchez, Pedro Ciriaco

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