Fan Confidence Poll: May 9th, 2011

Record Last Week: 3-4 (31 RS, 30 RA)
Season Record: 19-13 (170 RS, 132 RA, 20-12 pythag. record), one game up in the loss column
Opponents This Week: Monday OFF, vs. Royals (three games, Tue. to Thurs.), vs. Red Sox (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the (new and improved!) Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
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The Texas Homerun Massacre: Jeter & Cervelli power Yankees to win over Rangers

There’s really only one way to describe Sunday afternoon’s game: bonkers. I just don’t know how else to put it. Power from unexpected sources, fundamental mistakes, good pitching, bad pitching, more homers from unexpected sources, this game was unbelievable. The Yankees needed a win in a bad way, and they got it in a most bonkers way.

Don't call it a comeback. (AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

The Captain Returns

When this game started, there were 194 players that had enough plate appearances to qualify for the batting title. Derek Jeter ranked 193rd out of the guys with a .026 ISO. Only Jason Bartlett (.019) was worse. This shouldn’t be news, Jeter has been beating the ball into the ground at an absurd rate for a year and a month now, and ground balls are not conducive to extra base hits. The idea that Jeter could hit two homeruns in a game this year seemed preposterous 24 hours ago, but here we are.

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

The first of Derek’s two homers led off the fifth inning, when the Yankees were down 4-2. After consecutive sliders down, Dave Bush left a 87 mph fastball right out over the plate and Jeter drove it out to right-center, one of the deepest parts of the park. It looked like it had a chance off the bat, but I think we were all conditioned to expect less, so a double into the gap would have been a perfectly awesome outcome. Instead out in went, and there was much rejoicing.

The second homer led off the seventh inning, when the score was tied at four. Lefty Arthur Rhodes caught a little too much of the plate with an 89 mph heater, and Derek hit it out to almost the exact same spot as his first long ball, into the Texas bullpen in right-center. This one was a little bit more of a no-doubter than the first homer, but still, I don’t think many of us expected the ball to get out. I mean, two big flies in one game for Jeter? No one expected that, probably not even Jeter. It was great to see him turn back the clock even for just a day, but it was even better that both homers came in big spots; we’re not talking about cheapie garbage time shots.

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

Eppley Gets Cerv’d

Where’s Russell Martin?!? That was me, moments before Francisco Cervelli drove a dagger through the heart of Rangers, clubbing a grand slam (!!!) to dead center field (!!!). There were no outs in the eighth inning and the Yankees were up by just one when Frankie came to the plate, so it seemed like an obvious spot for a pinch-hitter. When Martin didn’t trot out of the dugout, I was praying for Cervelli to get a run in. Even if he grounded into a double play, I didn’t care, just get that one important insurance run in. He did that and them some.

The ball going over the fence will certainly get all of the attention, but holy cow was that a beast of an at-bat by Frankie. Cody Eppley, a sidearming sinker-slider guy, has been death on righties throughout his career, but the Yankees’ backup backstop worked the count full and battled for eight pitches before hitting the four-run homer. He fouled off two pitches that darted back over the plate at the last second, taking three others just off the plate for balls. This Gameday screen cap doesn’t do Cervelli justice, it was a great at-bat in a huge spot. Bravo kid, bravo.

Building The Rally

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

Grand slams have to start somewhere, and that eighth inning rally certainly had interesting moments leading up to the big hit. Nick Swisher kicked things off by beating out an infield single when first base ump Andy Fletcher ruled that Mike Napoli missed the bag. Slow motion replays showed that Swisher might have missed the bag as well, but the call went the Yankees’ way and they were in business. Jorge Posada followed that up with a single through the right side, setting up the perfect bunting opportunity for Brett Gardner.

Except something strange happened: the Yankees didn’t bunt. Gardner was allowed to swing away, and sure enough he dunked a single into center on the first pitch to load the bases and bring Cervelli to the plate. Given the sheer volume of words I’ve wasted in this space bitching about all the ill-timed sacrifice bunts they’ve attempted this season, the grand slam and six-run inning makes me feel slightly vindicated. Swing away boys, good things happen.

The Unsung Hero

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

Considering the lopsided score and eventful last few innings, it’s easy to forget that this game was very much in doubt as late as the seventh inning. CC Sabathia grinded (ground?) his way through six-plus innings (more on that later), giving way to Joba Chamberlain with a man on first, nine outs to go and the heart of the Rangers’ order due up. The leverage index was flirted with 3.0 at the time of the pitching change, so yeah, it was absolutely a huge moment in the game.

Michael Young, who had been killing the Yankees all series, was retired on a fly ball to deep center before the inherited runner (Elvis Andrus) moved over to third on a steal and a wild pitch. Joba got Adrian Beltre to hit a rather routine ground ball to third, but a rare mental mistake by Alex Rodriguez led to the run scoring and Beltre being safe at first. He was simply indecisive, looking home to see if he could get Andrus before firing to first, too late to get his third base counterpart. Napoli flew out to center for out number two, then Chamberlain struck out David Murphy on a 96 mph heater on the outside black. Just a gorgeous pitch. Joba gave us a well-deserved fist pump, and although it wasn’t the prettiest of innings, he navigated the most dangerous part of Texas’ lineup and got out of the inning with the lead intact. With a WPA of +.034, he helped the Yankees more than any other pitcher.

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

Sabathia Does Sabathia Things

It was a second straight subpar start for the Yankees’ ace, as Sabathia battled command and his own defense early on as Texas built a four-zip lead just five outs in to the game. CC was pretty wild early on, walking three of the first eight men he faced, and defensive miscues did him no favors as well (more on that later). And yet, there was the big guy on the mound to face the first batter in the seventh.

Sabathia settled down after the second inning, throwing just 59 pitches in his final four-plus innings of work after needing 50 to get through the first two. He struck out just two and walked four, getting just eight ground balls to seven fly balls, and just 57% of his offerings were strikes. It was an ugly outing, but then against Sabathia still managed to work into the seventh inning and give his team a chance to win. Lesser pitchers collapse and turn games like this into a true blowouts, aces stop the bleeding. CC straightened himself out and kept the Yankees in the game, which is all you could have asked from the guy following the ugly start.

Sloppy Sloppy Sloppy

Maybe the Yankees need to taking some infield practice before their next game, because their defense was just brutal in the finale against Texas. We’re talking both physical and mental mistakes. Ian Kinsler reached base to open the bottom of first inning when A-Rod threw a ball over Mark Teixeira at first, then four batters later Brett Gardner mishandled a ground ball in left, allowing Napoli to take second when he should have been held to a single. Sabathia mishandled a Julio Borbon infield hit in the fifth, simply dropping the ball when he rushed to make the play. He then forgot to (or was too lazy to) cover first on a ground ball to Tex, and Cervelli nearly threw away a third consecutive infield grounder. There were wild pitches, A-Rod’s brain fart in the seventh, and much, much more. The Yankees have been brutal on the simple plays like this, and it’s cost them several times already this year. Did everyone miss that day in camp or something? Tighten it up, fellas.

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)


Another underrated moment: how about Borbon getting throwing out trying to steal third in the sixth? He was the go-ahead run and was already in scoring position, but he got thrown out for the final out of the inning. Seriously, I would have wanted to kill him if he pulled that in a Yankees uniform. At -.053 WPA, it was the fourth most damning out made by the Rangers in the game.

The defensive misplays weren’t limited to just the Yankees; Beltre made two offline throws to first, pulling Napoli off the bag. By all accounts, Beltre is one of, if not the very best defensive third baseman in the league. Very rare misplays by him, though only one of those two runners came around to score.

(AP Photo/Matt Strasen)

Jeter and Cervelli weren’t the only ones to get in on the long ball action, Curtis Granderson hit his league-leading 11th homer and Teixeira also went deep in the eighth. That was his ninth, the third most in the American League. The top three hitters in the lineup went a combined 9-for-15 with a double, four homers, six runs scored, seven runs driven in, and a walk. That’s beastly. Let’s not forget that Gardner and Cervelli went 4-for-10 with four runs scored and four driven in from the 8-9 spots. That five consecutive lineup spots of domination.

The game was capped off by a scoreless inning from Lance Pendleton, who was pitching in front of friends and family as a big leaguer for the very first time. Hard not to be happy for the Houston native. Rafael Soriano, meanwhile, allowed his contractually mandated baserunner in an otherwise uneventful inning of work.

How about David Cone with the WAR reference? It was actually just more than a reference, he briefly explained the concept of replacement level and what WAR actually tells you. Good times, good times. We need more of him in the booth.

WPA Graph & Box Score

Bonkers dude, bonkers. has your box score and multitude of video highlights, FanGraphs the other stuff.

Up Next

The Yankees get a much needed off day on Monday, then will reconvene in the Bronx to face the Royals on Tuesday night. Freddy Garcia gets the ball against Kyle Davies. If you want to head up to the Stadium this week, RAB Tickets can get you there dirt cheap.

Maxwell homers again in Scranton loss

Triple-A Scranton (5-4 loss to Pawtucket)
Dan Brewer, RF: 1 for 4, 1 R – threw a runner out at second
Chris Dickerson, CF: 1 for 3, 1 2B, 2 RBI, 1 BB – threw a runner out at the plate … nine for his last 31 with seven walks (.291 AVG, .421 OBP)
Jesus Montero, C: 0 for 4, 2 K
Jorge Vazquez, 1B: 1 for 4, 1 K – five game hit streak, but just one single per game
Justin Maxwell, LF: 1 for 4, 2 R, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 K – five homers in his last ten games … all he does is homer (11), walk (20), and whiff (45)
Brandon Laird, 3B: 3 for 4 – finally gets over the Mendoza line (now at .214)
Jordan Parraz, DH: 0 for 4, 1 K
Luis Nunez, SS: 1 for 4, 1 RBI, 1 K, 1 E (missed catch)
Doug Bernier, 2B: 1 for 4, 1 R, 2 K
Hector Noesi, RHP: 7 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 4 ER, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 WP, 1 HB, 13-3 GB/FB – 62 of 91 pitches were strikes (68.1%) … love the grounders, but where are the whiffs? (4.79 K/9)
Luis Ayala, RHP:2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 4 K, 1-0 GB/FB – 19 of 26 pitches were strikes (73.1%) … have to figure he’ll be back with the big league team when they get back to the Bronx, no? unless they’re that happy with Buddy Carlyle, of course [Read more…]

Open Thread: Happy Mother’s Day

(AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Happy Mother’s Day to all you moms out there. Make sure you tell your mother, wife, daughter, whoever it may be how much you love them. Moms make the world go ’round. Once you’ve done that, hang out here in our open thread. The ESPN Sunday Night game is a good one, Braves-Phillies (Jurrjens vs. Hamels). I’m sure there’s NBA and NHL playoff stuff going on as well, but talk about whatever you like. Go bananas.

What surprised you more?
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What Not To Wear (Part Two)


There was so much discussion on yesterday’s post about what not to wear that I felt it was absolutely necessary to do a sequel. I wasn’t clear where I should have been, and people brought up some questions that I wanted to answer and arguments that I felt needed to be refuted. After all, there is nothing more important than dressing well for the game, short of winning.


First of all, I don’t care how old you are, how young you are, if you’re purple, black, green, gray, or white. I don’t care if you’re a girl, a guy, or you identify as some other gender. I don’t care if you’re from New Jersey, New York, Alaska, the moon, California, or France. Not taking the sticker off your cap looks dumb. If I saw Derek Jeter wearing the sticker on his cap, I would first stare with huge eyes, then turn to the person next to me and go, “Oh my god, Derek Jeter looks like a total moron with the sticker on his cap.”  No stickers on caps. For anyone. Ever.*

I realized afterwards that all the caps I posted were $35+ and up. You might have tight finances and still want a proper Yankees hat, so I’ll propose another option. Now, granted, I haven’t been to New York City in about four years now (this sucks), so maybe this assumption is wrong, but aren’t there those shifty stands run by people that sell bootleg Yankees caps for $5 or $10? Did I just make this up? Do they only sell hideously ugly oil spill caps? Did I just superimpose Oakland on New York (I’m so sorry)? Those caps tend to be black and white or navy and white. Cheap and fashionable, the perfect combination!

A few additional notes on hats:

  • The 2010 Memorial Day hats are a solid maybe. Go for it. The Yankees one is nice, but I’d be careful picking a team indiscriminately. Much like the quality of baseball, some of them are not as good.
  • Rally caps are okay in extra innings only.
  • You can wear your hat sideways if you are seven years old or younger. It’s cute. If you’re 35? Not cute.
  • Wearing your hat backwards is a maybe leaning towards no.
  • Adjustable caps due to ponytails are totally acceptable.


Again, there are financial ways to get a good jersey. There are plenty of fake jerseys you can buy from China for $20. A simple googling displays plenty of jerseys that are close to the authentic jerseys. Here’s some. They’ve got lots of numbers, home and away, and all for the low, low price of $21 plus shipping. Combine that with your street-bought cap, and you’re correctly dressed for the game for $30, give or take shipping and tax. Even someone living on a shoestring budget should be able to scrape that up, right? And if not, I don’t know if I’d advise going to too many baseball games.

There’s a lot of discussion on whether the named jerseys for the Yankees are okay or not. Well, I’ve decided that they’re acceptable stadium wear, but not advisable. Like above money-related issues, you might want to divide up your finances. Say you’ve got $200, but you want both a Rivera and a Posada jersey. If you’re looking to get both authentics, you’re out of luck. However, if you can tolerate the names, you’re in business! The Jeter replica jersey will cost you a cool c-note, where the nameless authentic is almost double. Can’t blame a guy for not wanting to drop an extra hundred bucks to lose fabric.

Alternately, if you do not want a fake jersey and can’t afford an authentic/replica, I would suggest a player-customized shirt, sometimes known as a shirsey. Even if you pick these up from and they cost only $25 or so. You can also get them customized for an additional $10, give or take. The great thing about these shirts is you can wear them everywhere. Jerseys aren’t really good everyday wear, but you can’t lose with a t-shirt. Looking for an affordable piece of clothing you can wear in and out of the ballpark? Look no further.

I had a couple of specific questions that I’d like to answer before I wrap up Fashion Weekend on River Ave. Blues:

  • Rodriguez jerseys are stability jerseys. The guy’s not going anywhere, and he’ll be good for a while, probably.
  • I had a tough time deciding on Cano.  While I do truly believe he is going to be a great player for a long time, he’s still in the trendy jersey category.

I hope you all had as much fun with this like I did.

(*Mariano Rivera can wear the sticker on his cap if he wants, because he’s freaking Mariano Rivera.)

Game 32: A win would be pretty cool

(AP Photo/LM Otero)

The Yankees have tomorrow off, and we all know how much more enjoyable an off day is when you’re coming off a win rather than a loss. The laws of reverse lock might in play given the completely lopsided pitching matchup, but boy do I hope not. The Yankees could really use this win before heading home for a few days, so get it done boys. Here’s the starting nine…

Derek Jeter, SS
Curtis Granderson, CF
Mark Teixeira, 1B
Alex Rodriguez, 3B
Robinson Cano, 2B
Nick Swisher, RF
Jorge Posada, DH
Brett Gardner, LF
Frankie Cervelli, C

CC Sabathia, SP

Hooray for no more weird Texas start times after today. Both YES and TBS will carry the game when it begins shortly after 2pm ET. Enjoy.

Beat L.A.

There are a lot of different reasons why a baseball club decides to trade a player in the middle of the season. It many cases it’s because the player’s contract expires at the end of the year and the team expects him to depart via free agency, so they decide to try to get some value for him. This usually happens with clubs who have fallen out of contention. Another reason is financial: if the team is unable to afford the player’s salary, or needs to free up cash. This summer it’s possible that we’ll witness a confluence of these two factors in Los Angeles.

After failing to buy the Red Sox, Frank and Jamie McCourt completed a largely debt-based purchase of the Dodgers in 2004. Since then their fiscal style has been, shall we say, less than austere, and it all came to light when Frank and Jamie split up. It’s been a particularly messy and public divorce, one made worse by a shoddy prenup, and the team has fallen on tough times. At the end of April Major League Baseball seized control of the Dodgers’ finances. The team has over $400M in debt and has seen a drop in season tickets this year. Worse, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reported on Tuesday of this week that the Dodgers lack the finances necessary to meet payroll through the end of this month. The $30M loan that McCourt received from Fox earlier this month, a loan which seemed to be the straw that broke the camel’s back for Commissioner Bud Selig, only provided funding for April’s two payrolls and the first payroll in May. This is what’s known as a cash crunch. Right now, the Dodgers are having trouble paying the bills.

The baseball season is still young. The trading deadline is a little less than three months away. Yet this mess of a situation in Los Angeles might mean that the Dodgers become more likely to trade some of their more expensive players this summer. One intriguing name is Hiroki Kuroda. He’s signed only through the end of this year and for a relatively hefty salary of $12M. Despite my best efforts (I heart Hiroki), he remains one of the more underrated pitchers in the game. Since 2010 his K/BB ratio is 3.31, similar to Zack Greinke, Felix Hernandez and Tommy Hanson. He has a 3.44 FIP and a 3.43 ERA. He’s gotten goten ground balls at a 50.5% clip, nearly identical to Chris Carpenter. Carpenter is a decent comp for Kuroda over the past two years, except Kuroda has walked fewer batters. Kuroda has no doubt benefited from facing weak NL West lineups and from pitching in a pitcher-friendly home ballpark, but his skillset is strong and he’d represent a great midseason rotation addition for a lot of contending teams.

As evidenced by the divorce proceedings and interactions with the MLB Commissioner’s office, McCourt isn’t one to shy away from a fight or go away quietly. Say what you want about him, and Dodgers fans can say plenty, but he clearly has a backbone and he’s proud of the fact that he owns a baseball club. For this reason he may be less likely to punt on the season and trade away his expensive pieces, especially if Major League Baseball is providing any sort of financial backstop for the club. Yet the math could become a bit different if McCourt is still experiencing a cash crunch in a few months and if the Dodgers have fallen out of contention in the NL West. They currently boast a 15-19 record, 4.5 games behind the division-leading Rockies. Maybe a disappointing season from the Dodgers will encourage McCourt to decide to  free up some cash in the short-term to help his long-term goal of retaining control of the franchise. Shoot, perhaps he’d be willing to pull the trigger on a salary dump now. The Dodgers aren’t short on pitching, but they are short on cash.

There’s something a bit macabre about this whole affair. The divorce is ugly, and it’s sad to see a great franchise like the Los Angeles Dodgers be put in this situation because of the personal affairs of ownership. I’ve always liked the Dodgers, and I’ve always felt nostalgic when I see their stadium and the palm trees and the classic white uniforms. It’s a little uncomfortable to feel like a vulture circling overhead waiting for the wildebeest to finally give up the ghost and collapse into the desert sand. But this isn’t a community softball league, and the Yankees may need to pick up a a pitcher this summer. I feel bad for Dodgers fans, but here’s to hoping that Cashman can pounce with quickness if an opportunity arises.