DotF: Dermis Garcia homers in fourth straight game

Two quick notes:

  • RHP Chad Green was scratched from tonight’s Triple-A Scranton start tonight for an unknown reason, says Shane Hennigan. Not sure what’s going on there. Injury? Trade? Call-up? Intrigue! (I’m guessing he’s coming up to make a spot start to give the other starters an extra day of rest.)
  • LHP Ian Clarkin was placed on the High-A Tampa DL, the team announced. That bites. Clarkin left last night’s game with an injury and I have no idea what’s wrong with him. He missed all of last season with elbow inflammation, remember.

Triple-A Scranton (4-3 loss to Charlotte, walk-off style)

  • CF Mason Williams: 3-4, 1 2B, 3 RBI, 1 K — 15-for-30 in his last eight games
  • LF Ben Gamel: 1-5, 1 K — 22-for-60 (.367) in his last 13 games
  • C Gary Sanchez: 0-4, 1 BB, 1 E (throwing)
  • 1B Ike Davis: 2-5, 1 2B
  • DH Jake Cave: 1-3, 1 BB, 2 K
  • LHP Tyler Webb: 3.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 K, 4/1 GB/FB — 42 of 60 pitches were strikes (70%) … nice spot start in place of Green
  • RHP Diego Moreno: 3.1 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 4 K, 1 Balk, 3/1 GB/FB — 33 of 49 pitches were strikes (67%)
  • RHP Gio Gallegos: 1 IP, zeroes, 2 K, 1/0 GB/FB — ten pitches, seven strikes … 71/12 K/BB in 54 innings
  • RHP Kirby Yates: 0.2 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 0 K, 2/0 GB/FB — 12 of 25 pitches were strikes (48%)

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Game 93: Eovaldi returns to the rotation

(Rich Schultz/Getty)
(Rich Schultz/Getty)

Nathan Eovaldi‘s stint in the bullpen is over, at least for now. The hard-throwing righty returns to the rotation tonight after three successful relief outings (7.2 scoreless innings) as the Yankees hope to get him back on track. Eovaldi allowed at least five runs in each of his last five starts. Bad. Very bad. He was pretty good before that though, and the early-season version of Eovaldi is who the Yankees hope to see tonight. Here is the Orioles’ lineup and here is the Yankees’ lineup:

  1. LF Brett Gardner
  2. CF Jacoby Ellsbury
  3. RF Carlos Beltran
  4. C Brian McCann
  5. DH Alex Rodriguez
  6. SS Didi Gregorius
  7. 2B Starlin Castro
  8. 3B Chase Headley
  9. 1B Rob Refsnyder
    RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Much nicer weather in New York today than yesterday. It’s a little cloudy but the sky is blue and it’s not crazy hot either. It’s going to be a nice night at the ballpark. Tonight’s game will begin at 7:05pm ET and you can watch on YES. Enjoy the game.

Trade Deadline Notes: Marlins, Indians, Nationals, Cubs

(Al Bello/Getty)
(Al Bello/Getty)

We are now 13 days away from the trade deadline, and while the Yankees have won two straight, their odds of playing in October are long. Buster Olney says they are going “full bore” in shaping possible trades, though ownership still needs to give the thumbs up. I wish they’d go ahead and sell now before someone gets hurt or other teams decide to drop out of the race and sell. There’s a lot of demand and not much supply right now. That works in New York’s favor. Alas. They’re still not ready to move players. Anyway, here’s the latest from the rumor mill.

Pineda among Marlins’ targets

The Marlins are working to add a starter before the trade deadline and Michael Pineda is on their list of targets, reports Jon Morosi. Miami and the Yankees discussed Aroldis Chapman a few weeks back, so the two teams have been in contact. It’s unclear if the Yankees and Marlins have actually talked about a Pineda deal, or if the Marlins simply admire him from afar.

Morosi says the Marlins are interested in Jeremy Hellickson and Andrew Cashner in addition to Pineda. All three of those guys kinda suck, but Hellickson and Cashner are rentals while Pineda has an extra year of control. That figures to play a role in Miami’s decision making. As I’ve said though, the Marlins don’t have many prospects to offer. Their system isn’t very good. That’s why the Yankees wanted big league players for Chapman.

Indians prefer Miller to Chapman

The Indians are in the hunt for a shutdown left-handed reliever, and Ken Rosenthal says Andrew Miller is “probably” their top target. Rosenthal says they prefer Miller to Chapman, presumably because he’s willing to be a setup man and has two extra years of team control. Jerry Crasnick says the feeling within the game is the Indians are more inclined to make a blockbuster trade than they normally would because they’re in first place and the club is already so well-rounded.

Not coincidentally, Keith Law says the Yankees had two scouts on hand to see left-hander and top Indians pitching prospect Justus Sheffield this afternoon. Other top prospects on the loaded High-A Lynchburg roster include first baseman Bobby Bradley, catcher Francisco Mejia, and shortstop Yu-Cheng Chang. Those guys are all far away from MLB and I imagine the Yankees want talent closer to the show for Miller, so perhaps these guys are being looked at as second and third pieces in a deal. Cleveland had seven (!) players on Baseball America’s midseason top 100 prospects list. Here is’s top 30 Indians prospects list with free scouting reports and all that.

(Hannah Foslien/Getty)
(Hannah Foslien/Getty)

Chapman is Nats’ most likely target

According to Rosenthal, Chapman is the Nationals’ most likely target at the deadline. That makes sense. Dusty Baker had Chapman in Cincinnati and the Nats tried to get him from the Reds over the winter — even after the domestic violence incident — but the Yankees beat them to it. How would Chapman and Jonathan Papelbon co-exist? That ain’t my problem. That’s up to Washington to figure out.

Interestingly, Rosenthal says top pitching prospect Lucas Giolito is not as untouchable as he once was. I still highly doubt the Nationals would give him up for a reliever, even one as good as Chapman or Miller. Any trade sending Giolito to the Yankees — and let’s be clear, that is an extreme long shot — would have to be a blockbuster with high-end talent going to Washington. Maybe something like Chapman, Masahiro Tanaka, and Brett Gardner for Giolito and stuff. I dunno, I’m just spitballing here. My trade proposal sucks.

Cubs haven’t made best offer for Miller or Chapman

To date, the Cubs have not made the best trade offer for Miller or Chapman, reports Jon Heyman. To be perfectly honest, I read this report and assumed it was a leak from the Yankees intended to get Chicago to up their offer. The Cubbies have been scouting Miller and Chapman for weeks — they’re said to prefer Miller to Chapman like pretty much everyone else (except the Nats, I guess) — and there’s a definite need for a shutout lefty reliever in their bullpen.

Jeff Passan says the Yankees covet the injured Kyle Schwarber — “Cash thinks he can hit 50 home runs there,” said one of Passan’s sources — but the Cubs are not budging. They won’t deal him for a reliever, not even Miller. The Cubs have lots of prospects to offer though, so being unable to get Schwarber shouldn’t end trade talks. Assuming Heyman’s report is a leak from the Yankees, I see nothing wrong with trying to squeeze a little more out of Chicago. The Yankees control the bullpen market right now.

2016 Post-Draft Top 30 Prospects

(Justin K. Aller/Getty)
(Justin K. Aller/Getty)

Last Friday was the deadline for clubs to sign their 2016 draft picks, and for the first time in a long time, every single first round pick signed. There’s usually one or two who don’t sign for whatever reason. Not this year. The Yankees signed 28 of their 40 picks (here’s the list, PDF link) and pretty much maxed out their bonus pool. They had only $177 in pool space left over.

The signing deadline means a new wave of talent has been added to the farm system, and that’s always exciting. The Yankees have also had many of their prized 2014-15 international signees make their U.S. debut this summer as well, so that’s even more talent. The raw talent is there. Now it’s just a matter of developing it into productive big league players.

The 2014-15 international class made this an extremely tough top 30 list for me. It’s always difficult to determine where those players fit in the system because they’re so talented but also so far away from MLB. I did my best to get them in here. Something tells me I’m going to end up hating this list and completely revising it when it comes time to do the annual preseason list next February.

Anyway, one player from my pre-draft top 30 list has since graduated to the big leagues: Rob Refsnyder. He’s exceeded the rookie limit of 130 big league at-bats. (He’s at 136.) As always, this list is my opinion and my opinion only. This is nothing more than a snapshot in time. You’re welcome to disagree and bookmark this post for future mocking purposes. Time for the top 30.

The Top Four Five

1. OF Aaron Judge
2. C Gary Sanchez
3. SS Jorge Mateo
4. OF Blake Rutherford
5. RHP James Kaprielian

I put Mateo at No. 1 and Judge at No. 3 in my pre-draft list and I almost immediately regretted it. I overreacted to some small samples and didn’t keep the big picture in mind. Judge was showing power and is knocking on the door. Mateo was having a great season at the time but is still years away from MLB. Judge went on an insane hot streak after the pre-draft list and Mateo wound up getting himself suspended for violating team policy. Oops.

Rutherford turns the top four into a top five. He was a consensus top ten talent in the draft who fell to the Yankees with the 18th pick because of signability concerns, then agreed to an above-slot $3.282M bonus. That’s pretty much the max they could give him without forfeiting next year’s first rounder. Kaprielian is out with a flexor tendon strain and he was supposed to go for a second opinion at some point, but we haven’t heard anything since. I wouldn’t blame you for assuming the worst.

The Next Six

6. SS Tyler Wade
7. 3B Miguel Andujar
8. OF Dustin Fowler
9. LHP Ian Clarkin
10. C Luis Torrens
11. SS Wilkerman Garcia

Andujar’s in the middle of a big time breakout season and Wade is more than holding his own as a contact oriented middle infielder. I’m the high man on him. I can’t imagine you’ll see him sixth in the system in many other lists. Clarkin and Torrens have bounced back well from lost 2015 seasons, though it should be noted Clarkin left last night’s start with an apparent injury. Sucks. Torrens is really good. Really, really good. He’d be in the top five if not for the shoulder surgery last year.

The Far Away Six

12. RHP Domingo Acevedo
13. 2B Nick Solak
14. RHP Drew Finley
15. RHP Nolan Martinez
16. SS Hoy Jun Park
17. 3B Dermis Garcia

Solak and Martinez were the team’s second and third round picks this year, respectively, and I seem to like them more than most, especially Solak. He can really hit, and I think his glove will be good enough for second long-term. Acevedo has had a very good statistical season, but he still needs to make some strides with his secondary pitches before I buy into him as a starter long-term. If the rotation doesn’t work, Acevedo has the stuff to be an impact bullpen arm.

Garcia, who signed for $3.2M back in 2014, is a new name to the list. His huge raw power is already showing up in games — he leads the Appalachian League with nine homers in 21 games — but so are his swing-and-miss tendencies. Dermis has struck out in 37.4% of his plate appearances this year. Yikes. Still, he has an elite unteachable skill (power), and that’ll get just about anyone on a top 30 list.

The (Almost) MLB Ready Six

18. OF Ben Gamel
19. RHP Chance Adams
20. RHP Luis Cessa
21. RHP Chad Green
22. LHP Jordan Montgomery
23. OF Jake Cave

All six of these guys are very close to MLB ready. Adams is this year’s breakout pitcher after making the transition from reliever to starter. He still needs to make some strides with his changeup before I’ll feel good about him sticking in the rotation long-term, but his fastball/slider combo stays firm deep into games. Adams has thrown 34 Double-A innings and is furthest away from MLB among these six players. Gamel, Cessa, and Green have all appeared in games for the Yankees this season.

The Injured Three

24. RHP Bryan Mitchell
25. OF Mason Williams
26. LHP Jacob Lindgren

Well, technically Williams is no longer injured. He was activated off the 60-day DL and optioned to Triple-A just yesterday. Missing close to a full year is a pretty huge deal, especially for a guy like Williams, who was in the process of rebuilding value before getting hurt. The tools are still outstanding. We saw them last year. Now Mason needs to stay healthy and show the improved maturity we saw a year ago is here to stay. Mitchell is currently rehabbing from his toe injury and Lindgren … well he’s pretty much disappeared. He’s out with an elbow injury and no one’s heard from him since April.

The Last Four

27. RHP Vicente Campos
28. SS Kyle Holder
29. OF Leonardo Molina
30. OF Estevan Florial

Welcome (back) to the top 30, Vicente Campos. Last time he was here he was still Jose Campos. He’s healthy, he’s having success as a starter, and he’s reached Double-A. Very promising year for Campos, who looked like a lost cause a year or two ago because he couldn’t stay on the field. I’m not sure if he can start long-term given his injury history, but at least now the chances are “slim” and not “none.”

Florial is another new addition to the list and he was a late signing during that 2014-15 signing period. He hasn’t been great statistically in rookie ball this year but a) it’s barely 100 plate appearances, and b) the reports are off the charts. Florial has power and speed, a good approach, and the defensive chops for center field. I’m always conservative with international guys in their first year stateside because there’s no much misinformation out there, so it’s possible I am hilariously low on Florial right now.

Masahiro Tanaka: The Unspoken Trade Candidate


Even after back-to-back wins, the Yankees are five games back of a postseason spot with 13 days to go before the trade deadline. FanGraphs puts their postseason odds at 6.4% as of this writing. We’ve spent the last few weeks preparing for the deadline by discussing scenarios in which the Yankees sell. Carlos Beltran, Aroldis Chapman, Andrew Miller, Brett Gardner, whoever. We haven’t even bothered to consider buying scenarios.

One player we haven’t discussed as a trade candidate is Masahiro Tanaka, the staff ace and the Yankees’ best starter. Teams usually don’t trade their best pitcher, even when they’re selling. It’s a big deal when one of these guys is traded. Tanaka has been excellent overall this season, throwing 123 innings of 3.15 ERA (3.30 FIP) ball, so it stands to reason he could fetch quite a bit in a trade.

Brian Cashman and his staff surely are not ruling anything out. They’d be silly not to listen to offers for Tanaka or any other player on the roster. Does it actually make sense to trade him though? I think you can make the argument either way. In fact, let’s do that right now.

The Case for Trading Tanaka

The case for trading Tanaka boils down to this: he can bring back good young players and boy oh boy do the Yankees need some of those. It’s not quite that simple though. It never is. Here are the two main reasons to deal Tanaka.

1. He can fetch a lot of young talent. Tanaka is a top 25-ish pitcher in baseball and those guys are really, really valuable. Every team wants them too. There’s not a rotation in baseball that wouldn’t get better by adding Tanaka, so the Yankees would have no shortage of suitors. Every contender will be in the mix. Rangers, Dodgers, Giants, Nationals, you name it.

Look at the Jeff Samardzija trade. He was having an excellent season with the Cubs in 2014 (2.83 ERA and 3.09 FIP) and brought back a package led by Addison Russell despite his lack of track record. There were other players involved, but the Cubs were getting a big package for Samardzija no matter what. He was a year and a half away from free agency like Tanaka is now. That’s not a crazy trade benchmark for Tanaka.

Other pitchers traded a year and a half away from free agency include David Price (Rays to Tigers) and Dan Haren (Diamondbacks to Angels). Tanaka is not Price, but you can compare him favorably to Samardzija and Haren, and those two were traded for some nice talent. If the Yankees put him out there, Tanaka would instantly become the best available starter, and that usually means a big return.

2. His elbow is on borrowed time. Two years ago Tanaka missed the second half with a partially torn ligament in his elbow, and let’s be real, most expected him to require Tommy John surgery by now. Instead, the elbow has held up the last two years and Tanaka has been very good. The rehab process couldn’t have worked any better.

Now, that said, it’s only a matter of time until the ligament gives. Adam Wainwright pitched five years with a partial tear before it gave out, if you want one example. The Yankees don’t want to be left holding the bag when Tanaka’s elbow gives out. They’ve gotten three really good years out of him and have a chance to avoid not only his decline years, but the seemingly inevitable Tommy John surgery.

The Case Against Trading Tanaka

Getting a lot of talent and avoiding a serious elbow injury are two pretty great reasons to trade Tanaka. Keeping him? That’s a different story. It’s always easy to come up with reasons to dump a guy. Finding reasons to keep him can be a bit tougher. Here are three.


1. The opt-out clause really hurts his value. Once upon a time opt-out clauses only went to elite players. Nowadays everyday gets one, including guys like Ian Kennedy and Scott Kazmir. Tanaka can opt out of his deal after next season, and as long as he’s healthy, he will. He’d be walking away from $67M and that’s nothing. Samardzija got $90M this winter after leading the league in hits, runs, and homers allowed.

The opt-out is almost all downside. If the elbow gives out, Tanaka will stick around and collect his $67M. If he’s healthy and productive, he’ll bolt. How do you market that in trade talks? “Here’s a guy you’ll have for a year and a half if he’s really good, or four and a half years if he’s hurt or really bad.” Not a great sales pitch. That downside created by the opt-out is going to be reflected in what teams are willing to give up to get him.

2. Can he really fetch a lot of talent? Is Tanaka’s trade value as high as we’d like to think it is? Between the looming elbow injury and the opt-out, there’s a lot of off-the-field stuff dragging down Tanaka’s value. He’s a really good pitcher! But he carries more injury risk than most and the opt-out is not team friendly. Yeah, you can get a draft pick if he opts out, but that mitigates the risk only so much. Tanaka’s a great pitcher with just enough negatives that chip away at his trade value. Add all those chips up, and before you know it the offers aren’t nearly as good as hoped. I’m not sure I’d call it selling low, but the return might not accurately reflect his value on the field.

3. Guys like Tanaka are hard to get, you know. The Yankees no doubt have plans to contend next season, and Tanaka can help them do that. He’s a top 25-ish pitcher in baseball and those guys don’t become available every often. The Yankees could trade Tanaka and get some young talent and that would be great, but that would leave them with one of the worst starting staffs in baseball with a dreadful free agent class on the horizon. Keeping Tanaka because they would be unable to replace him is not crazy, not if the goal is to win next year.

* * *

Every player is available at the right price, and I imagine the Yankees would set the price fairly high for Tanaka. They could market him as an ace caliber starter who can help you for two postseason runs, not one. And because he has that extra year of control and isn’t a rental, they don’t have to move him. Same with Andrew Miller. Keeping him is a viable strategy.

I don’t expect the Yankees to trade Tanaka because I don’t think anyone will meet their asking price, even with no other high-end starters available. He’s a guy you get because you want to win the World Series, not sneak into the postseason. Know what I mean? Only serious offers will be considered and I think the elbow and opt-out will prevent Tanaka from bringing back a massive return.

Nova and the bullpen squeak past the Orioles 2-1


Gotta admit, I wasn’t feeling too optimistic about this game. Wasn’t feeling the Ivan Nova vs. the HR-hitting Orioles matchup much. However, Nova somehow came away with a solid six-inning, one-run outing and earned a win. The Yankees needed two runs minimum and, well, that’s exactly what they got. A 2-1 win against the AL East-leading team, I’ll take it.

The Three Instances of Scoring

The Yankees scored first! A-Rod led off in the second inning with a thundering solo homer. Kevin Gausman threw a fastball right down the middle and Rodriguez put a no-doubt home run swing on it. You could tell right off the bat that it wasn’t coming back. Wow. That dinger was No. 696 of his career and No. 9 of the season.

Right in the next inning, the O’s answered back with a leadoff HR of their own. Jonathan Schoop, who is rising as one of the best 2B of the league (hitting for 124 wRC+ after tonight’s game), hit one into the away bullpen. Nova put a 93 mph sinker right down the middle. Big mistake. 1-1 game. Manny Machado immediately followed it with a sharp single down the line. I thought it’d be a double off his bat but perhaps it was hit too hard – Machado had to stay on first.

The Yankees scored another run in the third to make it 2-1. Brett Gardner led off with a base hit and Carlos Beltran advanced him to third with a single that got by the shift. Brian McCann hit a sac fly to score Gardner. Two runs in three innings aren’t that much, but man, New York was working Gausman. By the end of that frame, he had thrown 60 pitches in 3 IP.


The Rest of the Game

Aaaaand that was pretty much all the offense that happened. After A-Rod’s third inning walk, Gausman went on to retire the next 12 hitters. He’s a young pitcher still finding his groove as an ML starting pitcher, but he already has a history of pitching well against the Yankees.

As for the O’s side, I think this was a game that they could have easily scored more. In the first inning, Ivan Nova ran into a bases-loaded trouble after some command issues (walking Mark Trumbo and hitting Matt Wieters with a pitch). However, Pedro Alvarez popped out on a curveball to let him off the hook.

On the fourth, Nova allowed a walk to Nolan Reimold with one out. The next hitter, Ryan Flaherty, hit a chopper down the line that Headley had to reach. It was a sure base hit since it seemed too late for him to try to get the runner out on first. However, Reimold misread the grounder and way overran second base. Headley immediately saw it and the Yankees ended up getting Reimold out in a rundown. Had Reimold stayed on second, the O’s had a potential game-tying situation.

Nova had a one-run, six-inning outing (4 hits allowed, 3 walks and 4 K’s). I feel like he looked a bit worse than his stats suggest. ¬†There were several hard-hit balls early from his poor pitch location that didn’t end up haunting him much.¬†However, props to him for not breaking despite some early troubles.

With a 2-1 lead in the top of seventh, Yankees went to the familiar plan: the Dellin BetancesAndrew MillerAroldis Chapman sequence. Betances struck out two in a scoreless frame. Miller and Chapman, however, failed to record a strikeout. Bums! They did, however, each toss a scoreless inning to keep the 2-1 lead till the end. Chapman, by the way, must’ve felt extra loose with his arm tonight. He hit 105 mph twice and 104 mph thrice. Not bad at all.

Box Score, Highlights, WPA and Standings

Here’s tonight’s box score, video highlights, WPA and updated standings.

Source: FanGraphs

The Yankees continue tomorrow with this series versus Baltimore. Nathan Eovaldi returns to the rotation as the O’s send out former Twins’ Opening Day starter Vance Worley.

DotF: Rutherford, Garcia homer; Clarkin hurt in Tampa

The Yankees have signed RHP Curtiss Pomeroy as an undrafted free agent out of Georgetown, reports Matt Eddy. He was a two-way player in college who only threw eight innings total for the Hoyas.

Triple-A Scranton (5-1 loss to Charlotte)

  • CF Mason Williams: 0-4, 2 K — there’s room for him now, but I wonder what happens with Aaron Judge returns
  • DH Ben Gamel: 0-4
  • C Gary Sanchez: 1-3, 1 BB, 2 K — updated travel schedule: he’s gone from Scranton to San Diego to Charlotte to Gwinnett to Charlotte in the last ten days thanks to the Futures Game and Triple-A All-Star Game
  • 1B Ike Davis: 0-3, 1 BB, 1 K
  • LF Jake Cave & RF Cesar Puello: both 1-4 — Cave scored a run
  • RHP Kyle Haynes: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 2 BB, 8 K, 9/0 GB/FB — 61 of 101 pitches were strikes … 50/35 K/BB in 71.2 innings for the guy the Yankees got from the Pirates in the Chris Stewart trade
  • LHP Phil Coke: 2.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, 3/0 GB/FB — 20 of 32 pitches were strikes

[Read more…]